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2023-10-02 05:07:00 ET Summary Anytime during the trading day in the last few weeks, when the 10-year Treasury yield moved to multi-year highs, the dollar strengthened and stocks got wobbly. In early September ’23, the JOLTS report put a temporary bid under the Treasury mar...
2023-10-02 03:51:00 ET Summary The recent uptick in inflation was largely due to a surge in energy prices. Core PCEPI inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, has continued to decline. Although Fed officials were late to tighten monetary policy, their efforts...
2023-10-01 12:15:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-09-30 10:29:39 ET Summary The Treasury market is leading the equity market, with the long-term yield rising to its highest level in 16 years. The stock market is being influenced by the Treasury market, therefore, investors should pay more attention to bond market movements. ...
2023-09-30 04:15:00 ET Summary Rising rates have led to negative year-to-date returns for the US Aggregate benchmark index, but anticipated rate cuts by the Fed could support bond investors. The historically inverted yield curve may result in shorter maturities outperforming longe...
2023-09-29 21:20:00 ET Summary The Fed's favoured measure of inflation undershot expectations and has boosted the case for the Fed not hiking rates in the current quarter. Huge upward revisions to houshold savings suggests the consumer can remain more resilient than we thought lik...
2023-09-29 07:30:00 ET Summary The combination of easing inflation and a cooling labor market has fueled “soft landing” hopes among economists and Federal Reserve officials. Economic growth, the labor market, and consumer spending proved unexpectedly resilient despit...
2023-09-29 05:56:04 ET U.S. Treasury returns are on track for the worst month this year, as the bond market selloff continued after the Federal Reserve signaled that interest rates would remain higher for longer. The recent selloff has pushed the 30-year yield ( US30Y ) to its ...
2023-09-28 23:45:00 ET Summary There is still a "surplus" of M2 money, but it is shrinking every month. Higher interest rates have boosted the demand for money, in effect neutralizing the declining M2 surplus. Inflation is not driving interest rates higher - the Fed is. Real inter...
2023-09-28 13:30:00 ET Summary The history of the yield curve shows that it rises prior to rises in equity indices. The interpretation requires looking at the pricing and the impact of individual issues in the S&P 500. Energy, commodity and industrial issues have been risi...
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2024-06-09 10:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-18 18:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-30 08:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...