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2023-11-14 15:30:00 ET Summary AIER Everyday Price Index fell 0.49% in October 2023, the largest decline since December 2022. The October inflation release provides a welcome respite from resurgent price increases over the past few months. While the most recent CPI and EPI dat...
2023-11-14 15:12:00 ET Summary U.S. real personal consumption has held up well in the face of higher interest rates because jobs kept growing. Inflation has receded in virtually every category, although shelter is coming down more slowly due to the confusing and lagged calculation...
2023-11-14 12:30:00 ET Summary In my opinion, last week’s comments from the Federal Reserve Chair were performative and don’t change anything in terms of my outlook. Central banks are focused on ensuring that longer-term inflation expectations - not shorter-term ones...
2023-11-14 06:51:00 ET Summary In the context of fighting inflation, the “final mile” represents the successful and sustainable achievement of a central bank’s inflation target. Perhaps the biggest surprise in macroeconomics this year has been the resilience o...
2023-11-14 06:10:00 ET Summary We see artificial intelligence (AI) as a mega force shaping the new regime. We are overweight the AI theme in developed market stocks. U.S. stocks and 10-year Treasury yields both rose last week. We see investors demanding more compensation for the r...
2023-11-14 01:11:00 ET Summary I think the trimming or revising of lower forward growth estimates is a reflection of the FOMC policy. Crude oil and gasoline have fallen sharply in the last 6 weeks. High-yield credit spreads actually tightened a little this week, as did high-gr...
2023-11-13 19:15:00 ET Summary Bond prices fluctuated in a pretty wide range last week of about 18 basis points but the MOVE index has been rising since bond yields started rising in August 2021. There is, of course, considerable worry presently about the debt of the US government...
2023-11-13 15:08:00 ET Summary Over the past four months, yields have risen dramatically in response to better-than-expected economic numbers but have cooled in the last week or so. Although the Fed is going to be higher for longer, they want to see what all of their hiking has do...
2023-11-13 04:30:00 ET Summary What was the market expecting Powell to say? Is "Mission Accomplished" the right message at this time? Is 2% the right target? " Powell says Fed is 'not confident' it has done enough to bring inflation down " (Source: CNBC) ...
2023-11-13 04:13:00 ET Summary Even though the U.S. equity bear market is roughly half over timewise, and is probably entering its most dangerous downside phases, most investors are blissfully complacent. U.S. equity overvaluations are far more pronounced and out of line with corp...
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2024-06-09 10:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-18 18:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-30 08:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...