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The latest seasonally adjusted inflation rate for July came in nearly flat at -0.03%. This was on the heels of a blisteringly hot June number of 1.35%. While inflation did surprise to the downside, it had been expected to be much lower due to the fall in oil and drop in gasoline price...
The markets got the inflation report they were looking for with the July CPI. The BLS reported on Wednesday a flat headline number that took the annual rate down to 8.5% and sent stocks ( SPY ) ( QQQ ) and bonds ( SHY ) ( NYSEARCA: TBT ) ( TLT ) higher. ...
A slowdown in US CPI casts doubt about data, and the Fed’s, ability to move long-end rates. Meanwhile, market fundamentals are improving. We see 10Y US yields converging to 2% in 1Q 2023. By Antoine Bouvet , Benjamin Schroeder , Padhraic Garvey, CFA ...
The global business climate is deteriorating in mid-2022, putting forecasters on recession watch. Real global GDP is likely to have declined in the second quarter of 2022, pulled down by contractions in emerging Europe, mainland China, and the United States. Adverse financial cond...
As expected, U.S. inflation - both headline and core - moderated in July, according to the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The July report showed U.S. core CPI increased 0.3% month-over-month (m/m) - softer than consensus expectations of 0.5% m/m. Short-term inflation expe...
Persistent inflation and price volatility create uncertainty for investors and business leaders. Reasons to believe inflation will moderate include declining commodity prices, stabilizing money supply, and the resolution of supply chain issues. The tight labor market will continue...
For the second month in a row, the Employment Situation Report revealed not only resiliency, but a surprisingly solid showing as well. The level of nonfarm payrolls has now finally moved back to (actually slightly above) its pre-pandemic, February 2020, level. In recent Fed commen...
Almost every month this year, the “discounts” on financial assets from their year-end 2021 prices have gotten larger, leaving the S&P 500 with its worst first half-of-the-year return since 1962 (narrowly avoiding its worst first half since the Great Depression). Ther...
Huge insider selling combined with massive net fund inflows are two clear signals that U.S. equities are headed much lower, regardless of what they do in the short run. Whenever VIX goes below 20 it is safe to add to your short positions. The lower it goes below 20, the more aggressiv...
With so much negativity baked in, it may have been inevitable that markets would rebound. The strong U.S. jobs numbers highlight the challenges in reading the economy. As the Fed hikes rates, it's not just slowing the economy, it's building back its credibility. ...
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2024-03-30 08:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-10 03:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-05 16:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...