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The big news of the week was the spike in interest rates, which according to the press reports I read, "came out of nowhere". Last week's economic reports were mostly positive and better than expected. US stocks took a breather last week but global stocks managed a small gain. ...
Despite low yields, bonds can continue to diversify risk in broad portfolios. Although the stock-bond correlation has been weak in recent decades, fixed income returns have been positive in nearly all recessions since 1952, even in periods when stock-bond correlations were positive. ...
Economic growth is returning to almost every country in the world, and almost all commodity prices are rising. The thing to worry about is the direction of fiscal policy, which will almost certainly bring us higher taxes, increased regulatory burdens, and more expensive energy. Fo...
Risk assets continued their historic run last week with EM equities and commodities leading the way. Bonds sold off as the 10-year Treasury note yield broke above 1.20% for the first time since the lows last spring. The 10-year TIPS yield closed the week at 1.02%, near the all-tim...
In our view, broad, vocal support for Draghi indicates how far Europe's consensus has swung in favor of fiscal intervention. In the U.S., after losing more than 200,000 nonfarm jobs in December, less than 50,000 were recouped in January. Our base case remains an orderly normalizat...
After a dramatic year of volatility, the U.S. stock market ended 2020 at record highs. Can this momentum continue this year? ESG investments clearly outperformed in 2020. 2021 should be a year of much better cash flow for companies. For further details see: A Stock Picke...
The spread between nominal less inflation-indexed Treasury rates continues to rise - an increase that many analysts cite as a key indicator for the revival in reflation sentiment. The key driver for this reflationary trend is primarily due to an ongoing slide in the real Treasury yiel...
The US economy would need to grow by 5.2% (after inflation) this year in order to re-attain its 2.1% trend growth by the end of this year. Near term, though, growth should be pleasantly robust, as the economy emerges from its Covid travails and a return of confidence boosts consumer c...
Central banks, the Federal Reserve in particular, have really pivoted its policy approach to let inflation, if it were to start to pick up, to let it run a little bit hotter than maybe they have in prior cycles. Each energy cycle, I think, has played a part in influencing how investor...
2021 will be a challenging year for bond investors, as we are starting off with low interest rates and rising inflation, explains Marvin Appel of Signalert Asset Management. As a result, I believe the most productive strategy for 2021 will be to search for higher yields in the form of...
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2024-07-24 22:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-24 23:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-04 16:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...