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2023-07-12 11:30:00 ET Summary We have had a big surprise in the June consumer price inflation report with both headline and core (ex food and energy) rates rising. The Fed is focused on stamping out all inflation threats and is obsessed with services ex energy ex housing as they ...
2023-07-04 04:27:00 ET Summary A big change has occurred in the gold market since Russia invaded Ukraine and the West seized the euro- and dollar-denominated assets from Russia’s central bank. The US fiscal deficit in 2022 was $1.38 trillion, while the value of newly mined ...
2023-06-20 23:30:00 ET Summary Breakeven Inflation represents the market’s expectation of the average annual inflation rate over a specific period. Market participants and policy makers closely monitor breakeven inflation rates as they provide insights regarding future infl...
2023-06-05 13:20:00 ET Summary We see the market’s focus returning to higher-for-longer rates and sticky inflation after a U.S. debt ceiling deal. We prefer an up-in-quality portfolio. U.S. stocks hit 2023 highs after the debt ceiling deal. Yields rose amid the specter of r...
2023-05-30 11:35:00 ET Summary Inflation has proven sticky, even as growth weakens. Markets are realizing that policy rates are set to stay higher for longer. We like quality in stocks and bonds. Tech stocks surged further last week even as debt ceiling talks spurred bouts of vola...
2023-05-29 11:05:00 ET Summary I just refreshed my favourite U.S. breakeven inflation chart and was surprised by how placid pricing has been. Although the 10-year breakeven inflation rate scooted upwards after the pandemic, it is below where it was pre-Financial Crisis, and roughl...
2023-04-17 07:00:00 ET Summary The multi-year high recorded by the 10-year TIPS yield on 3rd November of last year coincided with the end of a multi-year downward correction in the US$ gold price. The short-term low in the 10-year TIPS yield on 1st February of this year coincided ...
2023-04-10 11:30:00 ET Summary We upped our overweight of inflation-linked bonds in March to quickly take advantage of the market pricing lower inflation - our new playbook in action. Bond yields rose after data showed a still-tight U.S. labor market. We think that keeps inflation...
2023-04-03 11:20:00 ET Summary We see the U.S. policy push for leadership in clean tech and Europe’s fast-developing response creating near-term and strategic investment opportunities. Risk assets rallied amid stabilizing sentiment toward banks. Yet the disconnect between s...
2023-03-31 06:30:00 ET Summary Slower growth and tighter financial conditions could mean a lower terminal rate and bring forward the timing of the first rate cut. While front-end yields have declined in recent weeks, they are still near multi-decade highs and may remain here as in...
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2024-07-14 22:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-04 18:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-16 02:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...