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The projected risk premium for the Global Market held steady in July at an annualized 6.0%, unchanged from the previous month. Despite the recent bounce, GMI’s trailing 10-year performance remains well below the previous 8%-plus peak. No one really knows what risk premia wi...
Most of the major asset classes continued to rise in July, led by US real estate investment trusts (REITs). US equities continued trending higher. The bull run also persisted for the Global Market Index (GMI) in July. For further details see: Major Asset Classes: July 20...
Growth-oriented asset classes are likely to shine, but not equally. Above-trend growth is a supportive environment of risky assets like equities or credit. On valuation grounds, equities are looking a little cheaper. Geraldine Sundstrom and Erin Browne discuss PIMCO’s views...
We view China's monetary policy loosening as unlikely to derail a focus on quality growth in the medium term, supporting our views on Chinese assets. U.S. consumer price index (CPI) rose more than expected in June amid the restart dynamics. China’s economy grew slightly slower ...
While the economic growth rate is slowing, that is not a contraction or a recession. If that was the case, you’d see junk bonds selling off too, and that just isn’t the case - at least not yet. Our investment process puts a lot of emphasis on rates of change, whether mac...
The U.S. has experienced three months in a row of elevated - and rising - consumer inflation rates. Monetary policy has broken down and is scarcely able to translate central bank actions into the Main Street economy. Fiscal policy is more unproductive than productive, and the more...
June numbers show continued strength, which will likely continue into the second half of 2021. Long-term rates were mostly muted but with a flatter curve, implying that investors are pulling forward the timing of Federal Reserve's asset-purchase tapering and rates lift-off. June's...
The economy is loaded with unwanted cash, and the return on that cash (and the return on almost all fixed-income instruments) is hugely negative. Inflation this year will take about $2 trillion out of the pockets of those owning Treasuries and give it to the federal government. Ca...
The best news last week was the continuing decline in global bond yields, including the 10-year Treasury rate falling below 1.4% last Tuesday. If and when the Fed decides to raise key short-term interest rates, I don’t think they will be able to raise rates by much, since the f...
Ten-year government bond yields mostly fell in June, with those for Australia dropping by more than 16 basis points to 1.48%. The second biggest move came from the U.S. 10-year Treasury mid-yield, which ended June nearly 15 basis points lower at 1.44%, its lowest level since early Mar...
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2024-07-14 22:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-04 18:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-16 02:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...