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Summary All Treasury Bond ETFs are, on average, negatively correlated to US equities; during the 2022 equity bear market, they have been positively correlated. So far, in 2022 US Treasury Bonds have been in a relentless downtrend; now they reverse course. TMF, a 3X leveraged 2...
Summary Higher interest rates are having an impact on Job Openings and Quits, both viewed as psychological indicators rather than economic indicators. Real Retail Sales remain steady which is a ‘hard count’ economic indicator. Retail sales may even have an up-tick in...
Summary Declining inflation expectations enhance the prospect of a potential Fed pivot, or at least pause in tightening monetary policy. However, inflation expectations are still historically high, and central banks globally will be worried about the risk of inflation being anchor...
Summary Geopolitical tensions, elevated market volatility, and the fastest pace of central bank tightening in decades are contributing to an unusually uncertain economic environment. In addition to higher income potential, yields are high enough to provide the potential for capita...
Summary The problem with extreme swings in monetary policy is that they cause extreme swings in markets. After the initial surge in March 2020 at the onset of the pandemic, the Fed’s balance sheet rose by $120 billion per month for 1-½ years. QE can create market a...
Summary The Fed’s goal is to inflict quick, near-term pain on the economy in exchange for long-term price stability and future economic gains. When it comes to inflation, the good news is that it appears to be peaking, and many economists see the declining inflation trend c...
Summary The Federal Reserve continued to raise short-term rates in their battle to slow inflation in the third quarter. The end of the quarter saw Hurricane Ian deal a lethal blow to southwest Florida. The economic impact is severe and portends a big downshift in the economy o...
Summary Last week, the 2-year Treasury rate rose above 4.3%, the 10-year Treasury rose above 3.9%, and mortgage rates topped 7%, their highest level in 20 years. By reducing its balance sheet by $95 billion per month, the Fed has sent the 10-year rate substantially higher. The...
Summary Rising prices continue to confound expectations that slowing global growth will ease inflation pressures. Financial market turbulence may be here to stay for some time. The ability to rebalance negatively correlated assets helps generate income and potential return whi...
Summary Elevated inflation, currencies, slowing global economic growth expectations, and reduced central bank liquidity remain key economic considerations. Volatility measured by the VIX spiked in September after declining in August. This wall of worry is real, but it is impor...
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2024-04-16 19:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-17 21:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-12 10:47:02 ET BTC iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) TLT is trading DOWN for the last 4 days, and it at trading at $94.99 with volume of 7,676,393 and a one day change of $-0.69 (-0.72%). BTC iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF has a 52-week low of 82.42 and a 52-week ...