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If we look at the full history of financial crises around the world, one could argue that crises related to external debt and/or fixed exchange rates are dominant. Such crises could represent an entire chapter of this book. However, I will only offer a brief overview of the subject. From the p...
What a time to be alive and trading. On Thursday, market participants were treated to what's been variously described as an "unprecedented event", when New York Fed President John Williams presented a speech called "Living Life Near the ZLB" only to come back hours later and "clarify" that i...
By Krishna Memani , Vice Chairman of Investments As the Fed unwinds previous rate hikes, don’t count on the dollar to move much I continue to believe international equities and fixed income may offer good value and diversification. However, I find it somewhat disconcertin...
It's been a slow turnin' From the inside out A slow turnin' But you come about Slow learnin' But you learn to sway A slow turnin' baby Not fade away Now I'm in my car I got the radio on I'm yellin' at the kids in the back 'Cause they're bangin' like Charlie Watts ...
By Jeff Shen Central banks around the world, led by the U.S. Federal Reserve, have taken a newly accommodative tilt. New blog contributor Jeff Shen reveals what big data has to say about monetary policy, and why investors may have reason for caution. It's summertime and the central ban...
The BCI at 255.2 is up from last week's downward revised 254.7, and remains below the previous high of this business cycle indicated by the BCIp of 78.4. However, the 6-month smoothed annualized growth BCIg at 9.8 is below last week’s 10.2. Both BCIp and BCIg are not signaling a recessi...
Perhaps one particularly surprising thing this year has been the lack of surprise - that is, upside surprise in inflation. Last year, central banks around the world were hiking interest rates and beginning to normalize balance sheets, as sights were set squarely on upside risks to inflation. B...
One of my investment principles is: Identify the paradigm you're in, examine if and how it is unsustainable, and visualize how the paradigm shift will transpire when that which is unsustainable stops. Over my roughly 50 years of being a global macro investor, I have observed there to be ...
By Richard Lawrence For those of you who know little about ice hockey, Wayne Gretzky is widely regarded as the greatest player in the sport's history. Part of what made him successful was his intuition and anticipation of the game - he saw things that others didn't see, or at least he saw ...
By Kevin Flanagan Throughout my travels, one overarching question people ask me is, Why is the Federal Reserve (Fed) so intent on cutting rates? It's a great question, don't you think? I mean, let's put it in some perspective. If I were to say to you that the unemployment rate is essential...
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2024-04-05 05:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-23 23:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-13 05:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...