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Admit it, there are probably some of you out there who suffered from ROS at some point this year. That's OK, with yield curves inverting, trade wars heating up, data on manufacturing softening and the ultimate Federal Reserve (Fed) change in monetary policy resulting in three rate cuts all occ...
Confused about the outlook for US inflation? Wednesday's conflicting news on this front isn't helping. The New York Fed's monthly survey of consumers in October finds that "short-term inflation expectations have declined to their lowest level since the start of the series in June 2013." Th...
Rick Rieder, Russ Brownback and Trevor Slaven contend that much of the recent criticism brought to bear against Fed policy makers is misguided, and in fact, the central bank has done an admirable job of pivoting toward a pragmatic equilibrium in recent months. We have talked in the past ab...
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Not too long ago, we wrote about the so called Modern Monetary so called Theory ((MMT)). It is not modern, and it is not a theory. We called it a cargo cult . You'd think that everyone would know that donning fake headphones made of coconut shells, and waving tiki torches will not summon airp...
The news media, bank executives, the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) chairman and even presidential candidates have made remarks about the recent spike in short-term funding rates. What caused the spike, and why is it important? In mid-September, there was a significant spike in the overnight...
Consider - and consider closely - intermediate-term bonds. Over the past 16 months, our yield curve has gyrated more than Chubby Checker - your King of Twist - at a Saturday night kegger. Just take a gander at the chart below. The red curve depicts the normal Treasury debt market extant on...
By Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist Weekly Market Compass: Powell's assurances boosted the market's confidence that rates will stay low until inflation flares significantly Last week's Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting proceeded largely as expected, but a very important de...
The recent steepening of the yield curve indicates that the U.S. central bank's policy is currently appropriate, Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan told Bloomberg News after he spoke at an event in Dallas. More news on: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF, ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Tr...
An interesting dynamic has emerged in high yield ((HY)) markets following the overall rally in bond yields year to date. On the one hand, the presumed "margin of safety" that yield provides against future defaults has declined, thereby shifting the potential distribution of future returns more...
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2024-04-05 05:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-23 23:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-13 05:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...