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M2 money supply has increased $796 billion y-t-d to $15.245 TN. With two months to go, 2019 M2 growth is on track to easily exceed 2016's record $854 billion expansion. Recent M2 growth is nothing short of spectacular. M2 has jumped $329 billion in 10 weeks, about an 11.5% annualized pace. Ove...
Global stocks continued their march upwards as bond prices and the dollar fell. Investors are sensing better days ahead inspiring a shift away from bonds/cash to stocks. While we remain focused on monetary policy, trade, and Brexit, we are beginning to factor in how the political winds are blo...
By Krishna Memani, Vice Chairman of Investments Last week the US Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points. Not much of a surprise there. Rate markets had been pricing in a cut with near certainty. In the press conference, Fed Chair Jay Powell emphasized that the Fed is unlikely t...
How much higher can bond yields go before equities are knocked off their perch? That's a question that's likely to be on the lips of many market participants in the weeks ahead assuming all signs continue to point to an interim trade agreement between the world's two largest economies. Ov...
What's going on in the repo market? Rates on repurchase agreements ("repo") should be around 2%, in line with the fed funds rate. But they shot up to over 5% on September 16 and got as high as 10% on September 17. Yet, banks were refusing to lend to each other, evidently passing up big profi...
There's no particular news out today, but fixed-income traders must finally have woken up and taken note of a stock market at all-time highs, an unemployment rate of 3.5%, and the easing of trade tension with China. Yields at the long end of the Treasury curve are flying higher, with the 10-...
By Jack P. McIntyre, CFA Over the last year, 10-year German Bund yields have gradually declined, while investor sentiment deteriorated over the course of this period as the U.S.-China trade dispute dragged on, taking global growth down with it. Policymakers failed to adequately address the...
We are at a tricky place with fixed income. On October 30 th , the Federal Reserve (Fed) reduced short-term interest rates for a third time this year, as expected. Fed Chairman Jay Powell characterized the 25bp move in the benchmark funds rate to 1.50% from 1.75% as a "midcycle adjustment" in ...
Original Post Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha Read more ...
Admit it, there are probably some of you out there who suffered from ROS at some point this year. That's OK, with yield curves inverting, trade wars heating up, data on manufacturing softening and the ultimate Federal Reserve (Fed) change in monetary policy resulting in three rate cuts all occ...
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2024-04-05 05:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-23 23:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-13 05:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...