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2024-04-26 05:10:00 ET Summary Markets have overreacted to Thursday's first quarter GDP stats; quarterly numbers are by nature volatile. The first estimate of Q1/24 GDP growth came in weaker than expected (1.6% vs 2.5%). On a quarterly basis, the deflator grew at a 3.7% annual...
2024-04-26 04:20:00 ET Summary The Fed recently released the March money supply numbers, and the story hasn't changed. M2 surged from early 2020 through early 2022, thanks to $6 trillion of deficit spending that was effectively monetized. The bulge in M2 rose to a high of $4.7...
2024-04-26 03:50:00 ET Summary The NFIB Small Business Survey has consistently shown pessimistic expectations for sales, the economy and earnings, but the U.S. economy has performed well despite this pessimism. Adjusting sales for inflation is considered nonsensical, and mentions ...
2024-04-26 03:25:00 ET Summary US GDP growth slowed to 1.6% annualised in the first quarter of this year, less than half the 3.4% rate recorded in 4Q23, but core inflation was stronger, picking up from a 2% annualised rate to 3.7%. This implies upside risks to tomorrow’s ke...
2024-04-26 02:30:00 ET Summary Money Supply is a very important indicator that helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are, regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Money Supply should dip some heading into the summer before rebounding later in th...
2024-04-25 20:10:00 ET Summary This week's AAII Sentiment Survey saw only 32.1% of respondents report as bullish, the lowest percentage since 11/2/23. Given the drop in bulls, bears have picked up to 34%. However, that reading was little changed week-over-week, with a modest 0.1 p...
2024-04-25 15:50:00 ET Summary Alternative data points to a continued slow pace of normalization in services inflation that could keep interest rates higher for longer. The persistence of themes like AI has contributed both to high equity index concentration and strong performance...
2024-04-25 13:22:56 ET Summary The soft landing narrative is dead as GDP growth falls below expectations and inflation rises. Traders are removing rate cuts from the outlook, leading to higher nominal Treasury rates and a stronger dollar. Rising rates and tightening financial ...
2024-04-25 09:55:00 ET Summary Assets in U.S.-listed exchange traded funds have grown over the last five years, but ETFs still represent a small fraction of overall U.S. financial markets. ETFs represented 9.3% of equity assets in Europe and 1.8% of fixed income assets in Europe i...
2024-04-25 09:10:00 ET Summary Over short time periods, such as a few quarters or a couple of years, productivity correlates very strongly with gross domestic product. Total output drives the market opportunity of companies. Total output is simply labor productivity multiplied...
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2024-07-14 23:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 13:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-05 06:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...