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Summary The recession we see from Federal Reserve rate hikes eclipses any impact from U.S. midterm elections. We stay underweight developed market (DM) stocks. Yields rose and stocks rallied off lows as markets mulled the scope of central bank rate hikes amid a “whatever it...
Summary Why we may be facing a calamitous recession vs a run-of-the-mill one. The Fed's next move on rates may be more important than others. Is it time to start reflecting on the impact rates are having on the real economy? The U.S. Federal Reserve has been ...
Summary “Recession Fatigue” is setting in as consumers struggle under rising interest rates, high inflation, and a declining stock market. With unemployment rates at record lows, jobless claims at historically low levels, and consumer spending still above trend, an o...
Summary LETF Decay costs have plateaued and are now on a downward trend. LETF decay costs bite hard in sideways and Bear markets. Credit Suisse share price is at an all-time low. Some LETFs have significant notional exposure to Credit Suisse Total Return Equity Swaps. ...
Summary TQQQ offers a leveraged investment in the potential resurgence of the NASDAQ and we believe could easily deliver over 100% returns in the next year. Leveraged ETFs are risky and therefore should not be a large percent of one's portfolio as 60-80% downside risk is still pre...
Summary U.S. economy shrank in two consecutive quarters earlier in 2022. Recession Probability Track visually illustrates how that probability changes over time. CEOs or professional forecasters are giving much higher odds of a recession taking hold in the next 12 months than ...
Summary The ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard is a group of 12 variables that have historically foreshadowed an upcoming recession. The Fed does not want to repeat the mistakes of not only the soft-landing scenario of 1966, but also the start-stop dynamic that was endured durin...
Summary As investors lose more money, there is more loss aversion, to the extent that the market seems to have digested the interest rate-related worries for tech compared to the broader market. Also, the factors which have driven the Nasdaq down in the first place could help it t...
Summary Are October rallies just bear traps in disguise? When will we see a turn in inflation? How to navigate bear markets. September was a brutal month for equities. Could markets strengthen this fall or are rallies just bear traps in disguise? Kim Parlee t...
Summary This is a follow-up article to an earlier article on TQQQ written on August 16th. Current TQQQ metrics still support the overall conclusion of that article. History shows investors in TQQQ are good at market timing. They hold the greatest number of shares at market bottoms...
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A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) rose 12.8% to $117.02 on volume of 458,509,996 shares noco-noco Inc. (NCNC) rose 87.6% to $0.287 on volume of 295,847,527 shares PROSHARES TRUST (SQQQ) fell 8.9% to $8.59 on volume of 240,024,220 shares Prest...
2024-07-29 10:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) fell 1.7% to $112.28 on volume of 455,296,152 shares Ford Motor Company (F) fell 18.4% to $11.16 on volume of 256,384,806 shares PROSHARES TRUST (SQQQ) rose 3.4% to $9.37 on volume of 246,885,889 shares Sel...