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Summary Despite mounting evidence supporting recession forecasts, the stock market remains at odds with that outlook. Such leaves investors in a predicament of avoiding a further drawdown in the equity markets but not wanting to miss out on a potential recovery. History is exception...
Summary The most common definition of a recession is two or more consecutive quarters of negative growth in a nation’s GDP on an inflation adjusted basis (real GDP). It is common for bear markets to begin before recessions officially start as investors anticipate tougher economic...
Summary The Fed meets this week and is widely expected to raise the Fed Funds rate by 0.25% to a range of 4.5% - 4.75%. The 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields are essentially unchanged since late September as investors await more information about the economy. I think it is likely t...
Summary While the economy continues to be relatively strong, there are several seemingly intractable problems on the horizon. Consumers are spending beyond their means and absent a sharp increase in real wages, this is likely to lead to a drop in spending once excess savings are consume...
Summary My last article explains why Powell will disabuse any notion that the end of fast and sharp rates coming to an end means that liquidity returns. I listed a number of non-raising tactics he could implement that will take away the proverbial "Punch Bowl". The fact that the 10 ...
Summary Yesterday’s weekly update on initial jobless claims suggests that the labor market will continue expanding. A pair of proprietary business-cycle indicators highlighted in the weekly updates of The US Business Cycle Research Report also show a modest contraction in progres...
Summary The one truism which holds is that share prices and investor behavior do repeat even though the context is unique. The one element we can count on is that high pessimism is reflected in stock prices and other indicators with which investors can use to gauge market lows. One ...
Summary Returns for ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF have been ugly since the start of 2022, showing the double-edged sword that a leveraged ETF can be. I find the valuations of many of the largest components of the ETF unattractive even after many of the stocks took a large hit in 2022. ...
Summary TQQQ offers leveraged exposure to the Nasdaq-100. I think we're getting a big bull move in 2023. Prudent exposure to leveraged products can provide capital efficient ways to capture bull market gains. Since the start of 2023, we’ve seen a relentless advance ...
Summary Amid speculation that the US could be slipping into a recession, upcoming flash PMI data will be eagerly assessed to gauge the business climate in the opening month of the year. The surveys from S&P Global have been sending especially weak signals for output and demand growt...
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2024-07-29 10:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) fell 1.7% to $112.28 on volume of 455,296,152 shares Ford Motor Company (F) fell 18.4% to $11.16 on volume of 256,384,806 shares PROSHARES TRUST (SQQQ) rose 3.4% to $9.37 on volume of 246,885,889 shares Sel...
2024-07-06 10:18:00 ET The ProShares Ultra QQQ ETF (NASDAQ: TQQQ) has only been around for about 14 years, but it has already been a millionaire-making ETF. In fact, a $10,000 investment in 2010 would be worth more than $1.8 million today. Here's how it has done so well, and what in...