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2023-03-20 11:15:00 ET Summary Now that their interest rate policy is starting to cause things to break, the Fed can continue to raise interest rates and watch the systemic risk to the system increase or cut interest rates and watch inflation explode. I expect them to raise rates ...
2023-03-18 08:30:00 ET Summary The Fed began raising interest rates one year ago, on March 17, 2022, and the U.S. economy is not in recession. Milton Friedman famously found that the time lags are long and variable. The factors delaying recession will not prevent it, and it...
2023-03-18 08:21:00 ET Summary Could the consensus view of a 'no recession' scenario be wrong? As portfolio managers, this is the question we ask ourselves daily. What happened with SVB is a result of tighter monetary policy extracting liquidity from the banking system. While ...
2023-03-16 23:29:00 ET Summary The recent disarray in the banking system appears to have caused fundamental changes to the near-term course of the economy. The expected recession is now more likely and will probably occur sooner. As the economy slows sooner, inflation may move...
2023-03-14 06:20:00 ET Summary Recession indicators are concerning. Bank runs are particularly concerning. Certain companies may outperform in a recession. As negative economic and financial news piles up, there are increasing concerns about a potential upcoming rece...
2023-03-12 18:15:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-03-10 11:30:04 ET Summary TQQQ is a leveraged ETF that has been on my watchlist, but I don't think the valuations for most of the largest stocks in the index are attractive today. I talk a bit about inflation and how I think commodities, energy, and real assets will outperfor...
2023-03-08 10:00:00 ET Summary US recession risk is high, unless it’s not. Forecasting is hard, but almost every effort to project data benefits by combining estimates from several models. The Composite Recession Probability Index has yet to signal a high-probability es...
2023-03-07 03:09:50 ET Summary I was able to increase my recurring deposit into my brokerage account from $150/week to $200/week. In February, I added to my Lowe's and Adobe positions. Despite market volatility, I felt very little stress this month because I was simply followi...
Summary US economic activity looks strong or weak, depending on the data sets you choose to craft a narrative. Job postings on Indeed.com, a jobs platform, suggest that the recent strength in the labor market is reversing and that rise in job openings will continue to reverse. The u...
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2024-07-29 10:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) fell 1.7% to $112.28 on volume of 455,296,152 shares Ford Motor Company (F) fell 18.4% to $11.16 on volume of 256,384,806 shares PROSHARES TRUST (SQQQ) rose 3.4% to $9.37 on volume of 246,885,889 shares Sel...
2024-07-06 10:18:00 ET The ProShares Ultra QQQ ETF (NASDAQ: TQQQ) has only been around for about 14 years, but it has already been a millionaire-making ETF. In fact, a $10,000 investment in 2010 would be worth more than $1.8 million today. Here's how it has done so well, and what in...