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According to the US President, the Chinese are an official currency manipulator. Given that they have never relaxed their exchange controls, one must regard Trump's statement as rhetoric or ignorance. One hopes it is the former. Sino-US relations have now moved into a new phase; however, on ...
A powerful predictor of future recessions sparked fears of an economic downturn and triggered a massive sell-off in the stock market. Scott Colbourne , managing director at TD Asset Management explains just what the bond market is signaling Read more ...
By Gary Alexander August is doing its usual number to investor confidence by whip-sawing the major averages up and down on a daily basis. After last Wednesday's 800-point fall - the worst this year - warnings came out about more declines to come. Mark Hulbert wrote in MarketWatch on Friday...
By Mike Pyle Mike shares his thoughts on how to make sense of the recent market turbulence - and what it means for investing. Global markets went on a wild ride last week amid deepening risk-off mood. Perceived safe-haven assets such as gold and government bonds rallied at the expense ...
Last week was another roller-coaster ride, but the S&P's ([[SPY]]) net decline was only 1% for the week and just -4.5% from its all-time high on July 26. The big news was the ongoing protests in Hong Kong, which are casting a cloud over China and raising concerns about global growth. These...
Overview: Powell speech at Jackson Hole stands before the weekend. Equities in Asia and Europe are finishing the week on a firm tone. Most markets in the Asia-Pacific region closed higher today, and the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index snapped a four-week slide. European bourses are edging higher, an...
By Krishna Memani, Vice Chairman of Investments The Fed must correct the long series of policy and communication missteps at this year's economic symposium. You can always count on the market to focus on the wrong thing. In a momentous week for the annals of central bank policymaki...
Classical conditioning (also known as Pavlovian or respondent conditioning ) refers to a learning procedure in which a potent stimulus (e.g., food) is paired with a previously neutral stimulus (e.g., a bell). What Pavlov discovered is that when the neutral stimulus was introduced, the d...
The yield curve is inverted! The yield curve is inverted! That was the news I awoke to last Wednesday on CNBC as the 10-year Treasury note yield dipped below the 2-year yield for the first time since 2007. That's the sign everyone has been waiting for, the definitive recession signal that says...
By Jill Mislinski The latest Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for July rose to 112.2, up from the June figure of 111.6. The Conference Board LEI for the U.S. increased in July, driven by positive contributions from building permits, initial claims for unemployment insuran...
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