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Strategas chief economist Don Rissmiller discusses the recent hit to consumer confidence and Covid-19’s longer-term ramifications for the labor market and worker productivity. We had a strong first half, so it’s not surprising to see consumer spending come down a bit fro...
We’re starting the post-Labor Day period with the S&P 500 sitting comfortably with a 20 percent year-to-date gain, with the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite nipping at its heels and making up for the big performance gap with value stocks earlier in the year. Earnings per share f...
Risk-adjusted performance continued to rise in August for the Global Market Index. Sharpe ratios in global markets generally are elevated. GMI represents a theoretical benchmark for the “optimal” portfolio. For further details see: Major Asset Classes | Aug...
Given the sizeable skew in the distribution of outcomes toward negative real returns, it's extremely important to be selective in high-quality fixed income, and to be truly vested in one’s investments so that portfolios are not permanently impaired. In the short term, the commo...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market (GMI) ticked up in August, reaching an annualized 6.1%, slightly above the previous month’s estimate. Despite the comparatively high GMI forecast, the current estimate remains well below the index’s realized risk premium fo...
The economy overall is booming in a way that has the labor market healing far faster than thought not long ago. Yet, American workers already sidelined by two huge recessions (we still hadn’t recovered from the prior one) just are not streaming back into the workforce. The ...
The winning streak for American shares rolled on in August. US stocks rose for a seventh straight month and posted the strongest gain for the major asset classes. US bonds also lost ground in August. The Bloomberg Aggregate Bond Index slipped 0.2%, the first monthly decline for the be...
After several strong quarters for value stocks, the last few months have seen a sharp reversal in favor of growth. The probability of any particular value stock being a “value trap” in a given year is about 30%. Value stocks are currently trading at a 40% discount to...
In the most recent Labor Department release, nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 2.3% in the second quarter of 2021, as output increased 7.9% and hours worked grew 5.5%. U.S. corporate profits hit a record high last quarter, despite supply chain disruptions, a labor s...
In his speech on Friday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stressed that inflationary pressures are cooling and getting closer to the Fed’s 2% target rate. Powell also acknowledged that some inflation is a “cause for concern” and implied that higher prices could be more permane...
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2024-03-26 06:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-16 04:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-12-28 07:15:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...