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The latest installment of the consumer price index is expected to come out on Thursday, March 10. Inflation is nowhere near under control, but there were some small signs of hope before the war in Europe. If inflation continues to come in higher than expectations in the face of so...
The debit balances in margin accounts indicator weakened sharply, dropping from a positive trend to a negative trend. While nominal retail sales continue to grow, the real retail sales indicator in the AIER Leading Indicators Index remains in a downtrend. Demand for the manufactur...
Stagflation is a period of weak growth, if any, combined with high inflation. After looking at the February Employment Situation report, it is readily apparent the labor market backdrop here in early 2022 is light years away from the 1970s average. Fed has a long runway for tighte...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has shocked the global economy, in particular by fueling further spikes in energy and commodity prices. The new inflationary catalysts will have differing effects on monetary policy moves because regional economies are starting from different places...
This potential problem compounds if or when consumer sales soften simultaneously. While overall topline sales have stayed robust, there are incremental warning signs as to whether this will or even can continue much longer. the total revolving credit (seasonally-adjusted) was thou...
With Russia’s invasion of Ukraine into its second week, the economic fallout is gradually coming into focus. In our view, it is highly likely that economic growth will slow in the US and globally, but less so in the U.S. We expect market volatility to remain elevated for an...
Sentiment on behalf of small businesses fell for the second month in a row in February. Employment indices in this month’s report are some of those that remain the most elevated relative to their historical ranges. Additionally this month, fewer respondents reported that it...
Oil prices are pushing toward demand destruction territory. Bearish risks are rising. We alert conservative income investors to the growing risks. For further details see: A Word Of Caution For Conservative Midstream Investors
The sanctions against Russia, as understandable as they may be, are likely to backfire in the eurozone due to their large trade relationship with the Russian Federation. It would be a while before Europe can get alternative natural gas supplies, so this price spike can go higher. ...
In President Biden’s first State of the Union speech, there was no change in the national energy policy in the light of $115 oil and soaring inflation, with prospects of much higher prices due to the cutoff of Russian supply. With the latest U.S. GDP estimate now at zero and he...
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First Trust Advisors L.P. (“FTA”) announced today that First Trust Total US Market AlphaDEX ® ETF (Nasdaq: TUSA) (the “Fund”), a series of First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund (the “Trust”), will change its investment objective, name and ot...
First Trust Advisors L.P. ("FTA") announces the declaration of distributions for 115 exchange-traded funds (each a “Fund,” collectively, the “Funds”) advised by FTA. The following dates apply to today's distribution declarations: FTA is a federally registe...