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Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the sanctions response, and the gyrations in commodity markets cast an even thicker layer of uncertainty on what already was an uncertain economic and financial market outlook before the onset of this horrific war. Despite the many unknowns, we dra...
A major variable for monitoring the economy’s strength, or lack thereof, is the labor market. There are no easy or fail-safe answers, but a useful way to begin is by running a simple linear regression on a set of key economic and financial-market factors. The first cut of i...
Russia's invasion of Ukraine on 24 February has fundamentally changed the geopolitical landscape - with economic consequences. While the 2022 global growth rate represents a slowdown from 5.8% in 2021, the world economy has sufficient resilience to avert a recession. While Russia ...
Bond yields continue to rise, but stocks have cut their year-to-date losses in half. Until real yields turn positive, the bond market will not be competition for the stock market. The economy remains strong, and corporate profits are robust. Focusing on rates of change in forw...
There is a wide disparity in valuation multiples for small companies versus large companies that both have high ROEs. There's something foundational about active value investing where the less "new" the better. My hypothesis is that larger companies whose brands are by nature bett...
The Fed is talking tough on inflation by projecting a large and rapid increase in rates, but we think it won’t fully deliver and be forced to live with inflation. The S&P 500 scored its biggest weekly gain since 2020, and bond yields rose. Chinese shares rebounded sharply a...
The Fed raised the Fed Funds and the Discount rate, and promised six more rate increases in 2022. While the stock market put a positive spin on the possibility of six rate increases by the end of 2022, the bond market is expecting a recession. A rise in VIX signals that put option...
According to a recent report released by the OECD, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, if prolonged, could knock 1.1 percentage points off the global GDP for 2021, while increasing global inflation by 2.5 percentage points over an already lofty inflation level. The damage won’t be...
The difference between the current correction and a bear market is the presence of a recession. If you think the economy will avoid a recession, you should “BTFD.” If not, you should “STFR” and reduce your risk exposure. there are many reasons to suspec...
Based on new hopes for a peaceful Ukrainian/Russian resolution to their nearly month-long war, the world is cautiously optimistic. Although China has been trying to help Russia avoid economic sanctions, China is struggling with its own debt problems from Evergrande, slowing economic g...
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First Trust Total US Market AlphaDEX ETF Company Name:
TUSA Stock Symbol:
NASDAQ Market:
First Trust Advisors L.P. (“FTA”) announced today that First Trust Total US Market AlphaDEX ® ETF (Nasdaq: TUSA) (the “Fund”), a series of First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund (the “Trust”), will change its investment objective, name and ot...
First Trust Advisors L.P. ("FTA") announces the declaration of distributions for 115 exchange-traded funds (each a “Fund,” collectively, the “Funds”) advised by FTA. The following dates apply to today's distribution declarations: FTA is a federally registe...