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The economic calendar is light but includes some home sales data and the (old news) Q2 GDP first estimates. Fed speakers will be on the sidelines for the pre-meeting quiet period. Earnings reports remain the most important fresh data for both traders and investors. And of course, there is alwa...
The combination of American trade protectionism and the end of a failing credit expansion is leading into a global economic downturn, and potentially a systemic crisis. Meanwhile, investors still believe more extreme monetary policies will stabilise economies and that the ultra-low interest ra...
By Noelle Corum, Associate Portfolio Manager ; James Ong, Director, Derivative Portfolio Management ; Rob Waldner, CFA, Chief Strategist and Head of Multi-Sector Portfolio Management In May, we wrote about the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) evolving policymaking framework as i...
Gold continues to impress. After breaking out by slicing through both key resistance at $1,377 per ounce and a 6-year high of $1,399 per ounce, the Midas metal has hardly backed off at all. Instead, it appears to be consolidating for a move higher by chopping sideways as it works off the sever...
Is The Economy Still Slowing? With the S&P 500 ( S P500) pressing new all-time highs, you are probably asking yourself whether the economic cycle is still slowing. Although we all know that the stock market is not the economy, it is logical to link the two and question the direction of e...
If we look at the full history of financial crises around the world, one could argue that crises related to external debt and/or fixed exchange rates are dominant. Such crises could represent an entire chapter of this book. However, I will only offer a brief overview of the subject. From the p...
What a time to be alive and trading. On Thursday, market participants were treated to what's been variously described as an "unprecedented event", when New York Fed President John Williams presented a speech called "Living Life Near the ZLB" only to come back hours later and "clarify" that i...
By Krishna Memani , Vice Chairman of Investments As the Fed unwinds previous rate hikes, don’t count on the dollar to move much I continue to believe international equities and fixed income may offer good value and diversification. However, I find it somewhat disconcertin...
By Jeff Shen Central banks around the world, led by the U.S. Federal Reserve, have taken a newly accommodative tilt. New blog contributor Jeff Shen reveals what big data has to say about monetary policy, and why investors may have reason for caution. It's summertime and the central ban...
The BCI at 255.2 is up from last week's downward revised 254.7, and remains below the previous high of this business cycle indicated by the BCIp of 78.4. However, the 6-month smoothed annualized growth BCIg at 9.8 is below last week’s 10.2. Both BCIp and BCIg are not signaling a recessi...