Previous 10 | Next 10 |
"I'm not lost for I know where I am. But however, where I am, may be lost." - Pooh There are few, if any, more sensible literary figures than the "Silly Old Bear." His common sense is grounded, and his words of wisdom are among the best, that the world has to offer. With $17 trillion in ne...
One of the main drivers of gold prices recently has been the plunge in long-term interest rates. Gold is very negatively correlated to the change in real yields: when they fall, it is bullish for the gold price and when they rise, not so much. (Please note I'm not referring to nominal interest...
By Kevin Flanagan Sometimes, the best-laid plans by the Federal Reserve (Fed) don't work out as foreseen. Unfortunately for Chairman Jerome Powell, the end of 2018 and the beginning of this year probably didn't turn out as he envisioned. Remember the financial markets' reaction to the Dece...
Elga discusses how conventional and unconventional monetary policy space is limited and rapidly being used up even before central banks respond to the next downturn, let alone a full-blown recession. This is the second in a series of four blogs on the topic of "Dealing with the next downturn....
Background This is Part 2 of a planned 3-part series. Part 1 reviewed the secular bull market in bonds, i.e., toward lower rates, as I have described it since 2013. It also proposed a new target range for the 30-year Treasury bond ( TLT ) a few years from now of 1-2.5%, and a target yield ...
David Beckworth : Our guest today is Thomas Hoenig. Tom was Vice Chair of the FDIC from 2012 to 2018, and then 20 years prior to that he was president of the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank. Tom is currently a distinguished senior fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, whe...
A paradigm is a mental framework. It has a both a positive pressure and a negative filter. It structures one's thoughts, orients them in a certain direction, and rules out certain ideas. Paradigms can be very useful; for example, the scientific method directs one to begin with facts, explain t...
Why exactly do governments borrow? Well, it's not for the same reason as most private sector entities (households or firms) borrow, i.e., to make investments. While there are many who argued that the government should borrow only to invest, that idea has not actually been put into practice. ...
[Personal Note: With Hurricane Dorian heading my way I may not be able to conduct business for a few days next week. Who knows if my phone lines will work or if I will have any internet service. I am in the "Hunker Down Mode," with the Sages. Please wish us well.] There are many theories abo...
The most important forces that now exist are: 1) The End of the Long-Term Debt Cycle (When Central Banks Are No Longer Effective) + 2) The Large Wealth Gap and Political Polarity + 3) A Rising Work Power Challenging an Existing World Power = The Bond Blow-Off, Rising Gold Prices,...