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By Ed Moya The Fed still has high hopes this is only going to be a mid-cycle adjustment. The third consecutive rate cut appears to be the last one we will see at least until early next year. The risks to the outlook have moved in a positive direction and the Fed seems committed to followin...
Originally published on October 24, 2019 By Robin Marshall, Director Bond Research, Research & Analytics When Japanese interest rates first fell towards zero, the Japanese government yield curve steepened sharply as it was assumed temporary, and that interest rates and bond yields ...
Since overnight lending rates in the U.S. spiked as high as 10% during trading on 17 September, steps taken by the New York Federal Reserve and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to inject excess cash into the financial system have succeeded in calming funding markets. However, the episo...
At Aleph Blog, I will argue for things that are against my short-term interests. After all, the higher stock and bond prices go, the higher my income goes in the short run. In the long run, that's not sustainable. I am here this morning to criticize the philosophy of Alan Greenspan that ha...
Cardiff Garcia : Hey, everybody. My name is Cardiff Garcia, and I'm the co-host of a podcast called The Indicator from Planet Money . I have seized the reigns just for this episode, because David himself is going to be in the hot seat. He's here with me in the studio right now. David, welc...
David Beckworth : Our guest today is Frances Coppola. Frances is a former banker, financial writer, and an author of a recent book called The Case for People's Quantitative Easing . Frances joins us today to discuss this book. Frances, welcome to the show. Frances Coppola : Hello there. ...
"Like gold, U.S. dollars have value only to the extent that they are strictly limited in supply. But the U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or, today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost." Heli...
By Kevin Flanagan Without much fanfare, an interesting development has occurred in the bond market in October: the Treasury yield curve "un-inverted." I can't help but to think back to May of this year when the U.S. Treasury (UST) 3-month/10-year note spread fell into negative territory for ...
The central banks claim the lack of inflation is the key force driving their QE policy and permitting it to continue. This is central to their ability to stimulate. The moment inflation begins to take root, much of their flexibility will be lost. Today, those who see inflation in our future ar...
If you stand in the middle of the playing field of the Great Game, you will notice the goalposts. At one end of the field is "Fear" and at the other end ¼¼is "Greed." The herd is constantly driven towards one, or the other, as economic and political events are posted on the screens t...