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Inflation remains in a holding pattern - about 2.3% core inflation, which consists of 3.3% shelter inflation and 1.6% non-shelter core inflation. The yield curve is, similarly, in a holding pattern. How this plays out will depend on unanticipated real shocks over time and the future bias of ...
Originally published on December 10, 2019 Ever since the secured overnight repo rate ((SOFR)) spiked to 10% in September, there have been dire warnings that these exceptional movements show the financial system is fundamentally broken. The story goes that the post-crisis financial system i...
On Wednesday, the Fed decided to keep its Fed Funds target range unchanged at 1.5%-1.75% as expected following three cuts this year and reiterated its plan to do whatever it takes to keep the short-term lending market stable as we are approaching year-end. It will continue to purchase $60bn of...
By Tobias Adrian, Financial Counsellor and Director of the IMF's Monetary and Capital Markets Department; Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli, Deputy Division Chief in the Monetary and Capital Markets Department at the International Monetary Fund Central Bank Digital Currencies ((CBDC)) is a complex ...
The Fed held its policy rate steady at December's meeting, as was widely expected. Positive signs in the U.S. economy since the rate cut in October seem to have increased the Federal Reserve's confidence that its "mid-cycle adjustment" (three cuts in a row) has helped engineer a soft landing, ...
Recapping 2019: Positive, But Costly Returns Purely from a returns perspective, 2019 appeared to be a banner year. The S&P 500 and other major equity indexes posted double-digit gains and hit new all-time highs in 2019. Investors feasted on easy money from accommodative central banks. U....
The U.S. Federal Reserve held rates steady after three straight cuts, and indicated further rate cuts may be on hold through 2020. Anthony Okolie talks with Scott Colbourne, Managing Director, TD Asset Management. Original Read more ...
By Kevin Flanagan After three consecutive rate cuts, the Federal Reserve (Fed) decided to stay on the sidelines at their final gathering for 2019. While this result was widely expected, it also represented a stark turnaround from the December 2018 FOMC meeting, when the policymakers made S...
By Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist Weekly Market Compass: As the WTO reaches a crisis point, countries may take trade issues into their own hands. I grew up in the New York City area in the 1980s. My dad always read the tabloids, and so, I started to do so as well. ...
By Darren Williams, Guy Bruten Transcript Darren Williams : So, we're moving towards the end of the year. 2020 is almost upon us. What are the key macro themes that we should be looking out for next year? Guy Bruten : Well, interestingly, I think some of the themes that have bee...