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A large call option trade on the VIX with a strike of 150 by year-end has the writings of the "50-cent trader." The strike of VIX at 150 is an example of extreme tail risk; at that level of volatility, the 2008 financial crisis would look like a small event. The trader buying extr...
Support was broken at 4,100, which quickly saw the S&P 500 trade down below 3,900. There is some support at that level, but there is a more well-defined support level at 3,700. There are massively oversold conditions in put-call ratios, breadth, and New Highs vs. New Lows, but an ...
Why markets have been falling ever since the Fed hiked rates? Why bonds may now provide improved opportunities for investors? Volatility likely isn't going anywhere anytime soon. So, what should investors do? For further details see: Markets Sell Off As Volatility Spikes...
As investors seek safety in the US Dollar, this may eventually trigger a broader and deeper selloff in U.S. stocks and market volatility will begin to pick up as the VIXY moves up. The US Dollar is continuing to appreciate as investors and central banks seek safety from geopolitical, ...
The central bank is raising interest rates based on the fact that inflation is a monetary phenomenon. The Fed can raise interest rates until the end of time and there still won’t be enough stuff available for what will likely be stable or even rising demand. The market is s...
Consumer spending accounts for about two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Inflation and market volatility are typically unsettling to consumers and long-term investors. As of late March, the VIX Index seems 'cheap' relative to some other forward risk measures. For further details...
Consumer spending accounts for about two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Inflation and market volatility are typically unsettling to consumers and long-term investors. As of late March, the VIX Index seems 'cheap' relative to some other forward risk measures. For further details...
Last year’s headlines (COVID-19 and China) have been replaced with new concerns (Invasions and Inflation). Central bankers are pivoting from stabilizing growth to limiting inflation. Traditional bond and equity markets have come under pressure as they adjust to this new regime....
The Fed minutes reveal the central bank intends to start reducing its balance sheet by as much as $95 billion per month beginning in May. It’s possible that Fed policy over the past decade, rather than destroy risk, has only managed to shift risks into the future. Volatilit...
The VIX ETPs have quite a few quirks and as a result of these quirks and their high volatility, there are considerable risks for both longs and shorts. From the 30,000-foot perspective, the big risk in being short volatility is that a big one-day VIX spike can theoretically destroy th...