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Yield curve control - setting bond yields by the central bank - has returned to discussion. Mainstream economics overemphasises the role of interest rates in guiding the economy, and based on previous experience, it seems entirely likely that some form of new policy will be attempted to counte...
Insolvent Wall Street banks have been quietly bailed out again. Banks made risk-free by the government should be public utilities. When the Dodd-Frank Act was passed in 2010, President Obama triumphantly declared, "No more bailouts!" But what the Act actually said was that the next time th...
With the Federal Reserve creating money out of thin air at will, the distinction between money and real savings can is often muddied in the minds of mainstream economists and investors. In this article we attempt to explain the concept of economy-wide savings rates and how the Fed and Treasury...
By Frank Shostak The yearly growth rate of the US consumer price index ((CPI)) fell to 0.4 percent in April from 2 percent in April last year while the annual growth of the producer price index ((PPI)) plunged to -1.2 percent last month against 2.4 percent in April 2019. Furthermore, the...
In my previous article , I've written about how important US dollar movements are for future silver prices. The chance of a significant silver rally during the US dollar strength is very low; and it is very high during the US dollar decline. The structure of the silver bull market since 200...
The last few months reveal how dramatic failure of the Fed looks now that it has hit the wall of diminishing returns. I've warned for years that the next recession would look just like what we are now seeing. I'll show below why this graph shows in stark numeric terms just how bad it is. ...
By Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. The most recent CPI numbers show a decline of 0.8% for the month of April, triggering questions about both a possible deflation and where prices are likely to go in the future. The fact is that no one knows what inflation will do in the short run, and all we have...
By Ryan McMaken Fueled by unprecedented quantitative easing, central bank asset purchases, and various stimulus packages, the money supply growth rate ballooned in April to an all-time high. The growth rate has never been higher, with the 1970s as the only period that comes close. It was e...
Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on May 18, 2020. [This blog post is a modified excerpt from a recent TSI commentary.] At around this time last month, we noted that the Fed had pushed the year-over-year rate of growth in US True Money Supply ((TMS))*, also known as...
With this article I intend to instill a sense of humility in one’s predictions of inflation or deflation and with that demonstrate how it can be dangerous to own assets like gold or long dated treasuries that only work in one direction. We present a strategy that allows one to stay fu...
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NEW YORK , Aug. 28, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- Direxion continually reviews its product range to ensure it's meeting the needs of our clients. Based upon a recent review, the Board of Trustees of the Direxion Shares ETF Trust has decided to liquidate and close 15 ETFs (each, a "Fund" and c...