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2023-05-09 02:25:00 ET Summary It's true that the Fed is very tight and the yield curve is very inverted - both being classical precursors to recessions in the past. While some observers note with concern the unprecedented decline in the M2 money supply over the past year, I view ...
2023-05-05 15:07:00 ET Summary With inflation still elevated and the labor market still “extraordinarily tight,” Fed chair Jerome Powell has kept the door slightly ajar for another hike. Markets had almost fully priced in a 25 bps rate increase, so the May 3rd decisi...
2023-05-04 15:47:00 ET Summary Why U.S. bank earnings suggest a modest recession? Potential impact of regional bank failures on the broader markets. When it comes to market uncertainty, is reality actually better than perception? The latest U.S. earnings seas...
2023-05-03 21:35:00 ET Summary With today’s 25-basis-point rate increase, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has now hiked rates by a cumulative 500 basis points since March of 2022. Whether the Fed hikes rates again in June or goes on pause will likely depend on the labor mark...
2023-05-02 20:47:03 ET Summary The Leading Economy moved into recession last year. The Cyclical Economy is entering recession now. The Total Economy will not be immune from recession. A look at historical lead and lag times and what happens next. The US economy has b...
2023-05-01 13:10:00 ET Summary It appears the recession is right around the corner. As the recession begins, the yield curves will begin to steepen. The 2s10s have started but the 3m10s has not budged. The market can stay irrational for a long time, but in addition, this is th...
2023-05-01 12:07:00 ET Summary Last week’s GDP report was not some kind of near miss, something that could be interpreted as negative if you just squint and employ a little confirmation bias. Real estate had another up week and continues its recovery. There are certainly so...
2023-05-01 09:24:36 ET Summary We present the reason why leveraged ETFs drift. The worst decays are in biotechnology and semiconductors ETFs. Direxion Daily S&P 500® Bear 3X Shares ETF has a positive drift in one month, but SPXS stayed negative in the last 12 months. ...
2023-04-30 00:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-04-29 07:21:00 ET Summary The NBER is notoriously slow in identifying when the business cycle in the U.S. either peaks before going into recession or troughs when coming out of one. Analysts have built models to try to predict the timing of when the country's business cycle h...
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A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Yoshitsu Co. Ltd (TKLF) rose 103.4% to $0.623 on volume of 309,019,720 shares Maxeon Solar Technologies Ltd. (MAXN) rose 11.2% to $0.2524 on volume of 226,231,487 shares NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) fell 1.6% to $126.36 on volume of 208,...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Conduit Pharmaceuticals Inc. (CDT) rose 40.0% to $0.3361 on volume of 63,970,490 shares Yoshitsu Co. Ltd (TKLF) rose 64.0% to $0.5024 on volume of 62,618,792 shares Silo Pharma Inc. (SILO) rose 91.8% to $2.0522 on volume of 59,055,593...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Qualigen Therapeutics Inc. (QLGN) rose 111.4% to $0.4341 on volume of 412,713,755 shares Maxeon Solar Technologies Ltd. (MAXN) fell 1.3% to $0.2375 on volume of 280,800,277 shares NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) rose 1.4% to $129.24 on volu...