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2024-01-02 17:00:00 ET Summary Leveraged ETFs often underperform their underlying index due to beta-slippage. Monthly and yearly drift can be monitored to assess the performance of leveraged ETFs relative to their underlying index. ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (UDOW) has experienc...
2023-12-28 11:30:00 ET Summary The 2024 slowdown will probably not be a recession, though that’s certainly a possibility. Yield curve inversion is one of the best leading indicators, measuring whether short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates. Despite the general...
2023-12-28 04:30:00 ET Summary As all students of economics should have learned, prices are set at the margin by the intersection of supply and demand. The surge in the demand for currency has almost completely reversed from its early-covid levels. Corporations are not struggl...
2023-12-21 16:22:55 ET More on Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3x Shares ETF LABU, TZA and LABD among weekly ETF movers Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating on Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3x Shares ETF Dividend scorecard for Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3x Shares ETF...
2023-12-20 04:57:00 ET Summary Some FOMC members saw two cuts, some saw four – based on dot plots – so three, more or less, marks the middle. Emerging markets have lagged developed markets quite dramatically as the U.S. dollar has rallied, along with the Fed’s...
2023-12-20 03:08:00 ET Summary In recent years, investors prospered by selling stocks and going to cash in early 2019, avoiding the eventual market downturn and recession in 2020. Since November, the run-up in asset prices has been stunning. Such is particularly the case given the...
2023-12-15 10:40:00 ET Summary Unemployment fell to 3.6% in March 2022. Now it’s 3.7%. If it’s still relatively low in March 2025, and if inflation has fallen close to the Fed’s 2% target, then the US will have achieved its first ever soft landing. In the ...
2023-12-15 09:25:00 ET Summary Despite indicators suggesting recessionary risks, the financial markets surged roughly 20% to date. The result of the increase in wealth effect has been a sustained improvement in consumer confidence, which supports economic growth. Given the unc...
2023-12-12 11:56:00 ET Summary The probability the U.S. economy will experience an official period of recession sometime in the next twelve months continued to recede during the past six weeks, currently standing at 67%. The probability peaked at 80.8% on 25 July 2023, just before...
2023-12-06 22:50:00 ET Summary The US was supposed to be in recession by now, according to numerous forecasts from early in 2023. GDP surged in the third quarter, dealing a body blow to expectations that a downturn was imminent. The latest narrative making the rounds: the weak...
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2024-06-09 11:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 06:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...