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According to the federal funds futures market, market participants expect the Fed to raise short-term rates to about 3% by early 2023 and then take a pause. The fiscal stimulus is not being repeated and the Fed has just commenced to shrink its balance sheet, which means it will no lon...
Our rising price problem is, more than anything, a supply problem, and reducing demand is certainly one way to tackle it. But returning to the pre-COVID growth rate doesn’t mean we are headed to recession, that contraction is in our immediate future. US stocks and REITs wer...
The classical definition of a recession is two consecutive quarters of negative GDP. The first report for Q1 indicated a decline of 1.4%. It will be interesting to see how Q2 GDP is handled after the July 4th holiday. If like the first quarter it is a negative, which looks more likely...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Investing during a recession can be a very difficult and often dangerous prospect. However, it can be done if approached with a bit of strategy and preparation. Risk to investors during an economic recession is high. Historically, markets tend to correct rather sharply during recessio...
Economic growth has probably rebounded from the first quarter’s contraction, based on GDP. Beyond these basic facts, the outlook turns murky. In the realm of high-confidence forecasts, ETI and EMI projections through June, while lower, still indicate a moderate level of growth....
There is no shortage of reasons for inflation’s push higher this year – commodity shortages due to the war in Ukraine, continued demand for housing amidst strong fundamentals, and low inventory and fresh lockdowns in China creating new waves of supply chain issues. Reces...
This article is a short outline of what I see as the macroeconomic effects of a possible continuation of weakness in crypto financial markets. The direct effects would be small, although weakness in crypto is interleaved with the fortunes of the tech sector. It is certainly possib...
This year has seen significant volatility in credit markets given the tumultuous macroeconomic backdrop and hawkish Federal Reserve. Investment-grade bonds, bank loans, and high-yield bonds could perform differently now than in prior risk-off periods due to asset class-specific develo...
Among the most challenging aspects of late has been to try and hold a positive medium-term (one- to three-year) view in the midst of very aggressive, downward-facing, fast-moving, cross-asset selloffs. While inflation does seem to have peaked along with expectations and breakevens, th...
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A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Yoshitsu Co. Ltd (TKLF) rose 103.4% to $0.623 on volume of 309,019,720 shares Maxeon Solar Technologies Ltd. (MAXN) rose 11.2% to $0.2524 on volume of 226,231,487 shares NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) fell 1.6% to $126.36 on volume of 208,...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Conduit Pharmaceuticals Inc. (CDT) rose 40.0% to $0.3361 on volume of 63,970,490 shares Yoshitsu Co. Ltd (TKLF) rose 64.0% to $0.5024 on volume of 62,618,792 shares Silo Pharma Inc. (SILO) rose 91.8% to $2.0522 on volume of 59,055,593...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Qualigen Therapeutics Inc. (QLGN) rose 111.4% to $0.4341 on volume of 412,713,755 shares Maxeon Solar Technologies Ltd. (MAXN) fell 1.3% to $0.2375 on volume of 280,800,277 shares NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) rose 1.4% to $129.24 on volu...