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Chair Powell laid out in unequivocal terms last week that the Fed’s primary goal is to reduce inflation pressures, and the policymaker’s commitment is “unconditional.”. The May Leading Economic Indicators Index posted its third consecutive monthly decline. ...
Whether or not we will have a recession is no longer a question. The recession is already here. The only question is, how deep the recession will become. Q1 GDP posted a reading of -1.4%, and the Atlanta Fed GDP Now estimate for Q2 is 0.0%. This means the US economy shrank during the ...
We expect elevated inflation to continue into 2023 due to the lagged impact of food supply disruption and elevated energy costs. Should a recession occur, its scale is likely to be limited by the reduced number of negative feedback loops. Consumers enter this slowdown with a large...
We remain cautious in equities, but in fixed income, investors now have more yield and credit spread to work with. We think that the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes for this cycle are becoming increasingly priced into the yield curve. Our fixed income team has stress-tested fo...
As inflation rises and recession looms in, people tend to invest more in gold, which in turn is expected to benefit the gold miners’ equity shares and ETFs. Energy and commodity funds (including the leveraged bull funds) have generated growth during 2022, while gold funds have ...
Growth is slowing, but it’s slowing to trend at this point. So not to zero, not to negative, but something like the trend that we’ve experienced over the last couple of decades. So, if you’re looking for a great way to play inflation, look to the small cap asset c...
Since my last coverage in the previous quarter, LABU has been on a free fall for the past 12 weeks and also recorded a huge loss over the past 6. 3X funds like LABU have the highest expense ratio and extreme levels of volatility. As the biotechnology sector is going through ...
In a more fractured world, we believe governments and corporate decision-makers will increasingly focus on searching for safety and building resilience. Looking forward, rather than reaching for yield, we believe that investors will be reaching for resilience in their portfolio constr...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
An update on inflation and the global energy situation. A look at how and why US recession indicators are picking up quickly. Why a recession is unlikely to be a permanent cure for inflation. For further details see: Demand Destruction
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