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2023-04-13 13:06:00 ET Summary The Consumer Price Index eased more than expected in March, providing fresh evidence that pricing pressure has peaked and inflation remains on track to decelerate further in the months ahead. Core inflation rose 5.6% in March vs. the year-ago level, ...
2023-04-13 01:57:00 ET Summary It is widely acknowledged that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy has a long and variable lag, which means that it takes time for the economy to adjust to rising or falling interest rates. Despite the most recent readings for the PMI and Conferenc...
2023-04-12 22:30:00 ET Summary Headline inflation is now running at about a 3.5-4% rate, not the 5% rate cited by most news sources today. If Owners' Equivalent Rent continues to moderate, as it almost undoubtedly will, headline inflation will all but vanish in coming months. ...
2023-04-12 13:58:00 ET Summary Job growth did slow from the unexpectedly robust average pace of 399,00 seen in the first two months of the year, but total nonfarm payrolls still rose by a solid 236,000 in March. In June the implied rate for January 2024 was at only 2.87%, way off ...
2023-04-12 01:20:00 ET Summary The lack of diversification benefits of government bonds in 2022 was painful for multi-asset investors. The sell-off in US Treasuries in particular was sharp, and we saw correlations versus stocks move well into positive territory. But strong Tre...
2023-04-12 01:01:00 ET Summary A dollar doesn’t feel 'active', but a dollar is worth a dollar precisely because it’s redeemable on demand every second of every day. The less active you are in the cash market, the more you pay for someone else to actively manage your ...
2023-04-12 00:30:00 ET Summary From a historical standpoint, inflation, quality of labor, and cost of labor all remain elevated and account for a massive share of the most pressing issues facing small businesses. Inflation has improved compared to last July when it was top of mind...
2023-04-12 00:08:00 ET Summary A negative US 10-year minus 3-month yield spread has signalled every incoming recession of the last 60 years. In the real world, global PC shipments were -29% year over year in the first quarter, and the average work week in March’s payroll re...
2023-04-11 14:47:00 ET Summary Eventually the pre-pandemic low inflation/low interest rate world will soon return and the Fed still has the credibility it needs to conduct monetary policy. The risk around financial and economic variables often matter even more. Three years ago...
2023-04-11 11:30:00 ET Summary Deposits at commercial banks fell by nearly $500 billion in the first 12 weeks of 2023. Like all investments that offer a higher yield, liquidity becomes an issue, even if it's marginal. Technology has made money more frictionless for consumers. ...
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2024-05-28 18:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 06:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...