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2023-04-25 11:41:00 ET Summary The month of April has seen the S&P 500 move within less than a 100-point range during regular sessions, adding only a few points more if one were to include overnight futures trading. It is absurd for the Fed to be hiking interest rates next wee...
2023-04-25 10:31:00 ET Summary Banking stress is unambiguously negative for the economy because it creates difficulties for small and midsize companies, which tend to utilize smaller banks due to the ease of access to credit they provide. We believe the Fed will be reluctant to mo...
2023-04-25 08:50:00 ET Summary The G7 nations pledged to accelerate a gradual phase out of fossil fuels and shift to renewable energy. But I do not believe that many G7 countries will meet net-zero carbon dioxide emissions by 2050. While the Fed should at least “pauseȁ...
2023-04-24 14:08:00 ET Summary Yield curves and credit spreads are good indicators but the former aren’t particularly timely and the second can provide a lot of false signals. Interest rates rose last week but the short-term trend for the 10-year Treasury yield is still dow...
2023-04-24 11:50:00 ET Summary The last two weeks have been the least volatile period for stocks in over two years. The market has been rather boring and stuck in a smaller and smaller range. Money has been flowing into money market funds and out of banks, as investors are satisfi...
2023-04-24 10:30:00 ET Summary We are leaning into our preference for emerging market (EM) assets due to China’s restart, ending EM interest rate hiking cycles and a weaker U.S. dollar. Global stocks were flat on the week. PMI data showed economic activity holding up in the...
2023-04-24 05:57:00 ET Summary The China recovery story is generating some buzz. Cooperation, integration, and alliances are seen as mutually beneficial. Policymakers almost everywhere face the predicament of elevated inflation and weakening growth prospects. It was ...
2023-04-23 03:59:00 ET Summary Financial theory teaches us that market prices are driven by the outcomes of perfectly rational creatures making split-second decisions fine-tuned to the optimal net present value alternative. There has been a distinct pattern in the bond market ever...
2023-04-22 04:15:00 ET Summary Recent outperformance by large-cap growth stocks may reflect a rotation into long-duration assets as the economy weakens and the turn in the rates cycle approaches. We remain cautious on equities in general, however, given uncertainty about the laggi...
2023-04-21 16:28:00 ET Summary Yesterday’s release of the Leading Economic Index from the Conference Board appears to settle the matter in favor of recession, but real-time analysis isn’t as clear-cut as this indicator suggests. The consultancy forecasts “econ...
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2024-05-28 18:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 06:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...