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2023-05-10 16:58:00 ET Summary Another 0.4% MoM print for core CPI means that inflation is still running far too hot for the Federal Reserve to relax. Nonetheless, there are some signs that service sector price pressures are moderating so a June Fed pause looks likely. With co...
2023-05-10 16:06:00 ET Summary Why a potential recession hasn't arrived yet and may not be as bad as expected? The latest corporate earnings haven't been strong, but are outperforming. Why many of last year's headwinds haven't materialized for markets? The la...
2023-05-10 01:59:00 ET Summary I think that the Fed had to take the olive branch that the market was extending to it with fully pricing in this rate hike. The First Republic going into receivership and having the merger there - I think from that vantage point, it was a win-win-win...
2023-05-10 01:05:00 ET Summary Economists have been forecasting a recession would happen since the Federal Reserve (Fed) started raising interest rates back in March 2022. The federal funds rate has risen almost 500 basis points since last year, as the Fed has aggressively attacke...
2023-05-09 20:45:00 ET Summary Why a policy shift may come sooner than expected from the Fed. Was the latest rate hike by the Fed Reserve a policy mistake? The Fed could be about to make a policy move on bond purchases, and what it means for markets. Concerns...
2023-05-09 20:20:00 ET Summary Wednesday morning the much-awaited CPI report is released by the BLS and as the clock ticks down to the 8:30 release, market expectations are the YoY inflation rate will come in at 5%. A low monthly inflation rate was also reported in April 2022, i.e...
2023-05-09 11:40:00 ET Summary The COT (Commitment of Traders) data, which is exceptionally important, is the sole source of the actual holdings of the 3 critical commodity-trading groups. Interestingly, the COT data also shows that Non-Commercial Traders are heavily net short the...
2023-05-09 05:40:00 ET Summary Headlines surrounding the abundant risks to the outlook dictate near-term direction, but we see a trend towards lower rates. The Senior Loan Officers Survey highlighted the squeeze on growth prospects. ECB hawks will face headwinds as US developm...
2023-05-09 02:25:00 ET Summary It's true that the Fed is very tight and the yield curve is very inverted - both being classical precursors to recessions in the past. While some observers note with concern the unprecedented decline in the M2 money supply over the past year, I view ...
2023-05-09 02:10:00 ET Summary Central bank hiking cycles in the developed world are slowly but surely coming to an end, raising the question of whether they have pulled off a soft landing. On the face of it, the answer to this question is a resounding no. Interest rates in Europe...
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2024-05-28 18:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 06:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...