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2023-05-16 00:45:00 ET Summary The potential end to Fed rate increases may not be enough to cause dollar depreciation in the medium term. With market participants now pricing the end of the Federal Reserve’s hiking cycle, some commentators have suggested that this is reason...
2023-05-15 18:33:00 ET Summary Right now, the two-year total return of a 60/40 portfolio (60% S&P 500, 40% aggregate bond) is -1.24%. If you expand the 60/40 to a Vanguard Total Stock/Vanguard Total Bond mix, you actually did even worse at -3.7%. TBills have, over the long...
2023-05-15 10:35:00 ET Summary We think the U.S. debt limit showdown will spark renewed volatility in markets. That risk reinforces why we stay invested and cautious by going up in quality. Stocks were flat last week after U.S. data confirmed core inflation staying high. We think ...
2023-05-15 01:30:00 ET Summary Bonds and stocks rallied immediately on the release of CPI data. Chinese stock weakness was broad-based. China's housing sector appears poised to provide the biggest disappointment. Two-year Treasury yields traded at 4.06% Wednesday, ju...
2023-05-13 09:13:00 ET Summary The shortest pauses in a 30-year period were the six months time-out in 1995 and the eight month wait-and-see in 2019. The pause periods that began in 1997 and 2006, by contrast, lasted more than a year. When the Greenspan Fed began raising rates...
2023-05-13 07:40:00 ET Summary We don't rule out further problems arising in some of these smaller US banks but expect larger banks to be able to weather the storm. If a government shutdown and default look likely, the impact on financial markets, consumers and businesses would be...
2023-05-13 05:36:00 ET Summary Today, the bond market is convinced that there will be no more Fed rate hikes. Simple logic says that if inflation is clearly decelerating, no further rate hikes are necessary. The fires of inflation have been extinguished; only embers remain, an...
2023-05-13 03:55:00 ET Summary Price inflation during April decelerated slightly, coming in at the lowest year-over-year increase in 24 months. CPI inflation rose 4.9% YoY in April before seasonal adjustment, the 26th month in a row with inflation above the Fed’s arbitrary ...
2023-05-13 00:30:00 ET Summary The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April showed that headline inflation continues to moderate, dipping below 5% for the first time since April 2021. Headline CPI is now below the Fed funds rate, reducing the need for additional Federal Reserve (Fed) ...
2023-05-12 18:00:00 ET Summary The very system is threatened by the necessity of central banks to raise rates to the extent that both sides of - weaker - bank balance sheets are under pressure. Given all that, along with a threat to the quality of the US Treasury market, and there...
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2024-05-28 18:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 06:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...