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2023-06-16 19:48:00 ET Summary The recent surge in the 10-Year Treasury yield vs. the dividend payout rate for US equities (S&P 500) looks attractive, at least compared to recent history. The estimated S&P 500 dividend yield is currently 1.54%, near the lowest level for th...
2023-06-16 02:30:00 ET Summary This week’s Federal Reserve decision was interesting mainly because there was no hint at a pivot. The market had been pricing in a rate cut this year, but the Fed made it pretty clear that that’s not happening. They essentially said...
2023-06-16 01:15:00 ET Summary At Wednesday’s meeting, for the first time since March 2022, the Federal Reserve (Fed) chose not to raise policy rates, instead keeping the benchmark rate at 5.00%-5.25%. However, the Fed still managed to deliver a hawkish blow to markets. ...
2023-06-15 22:35:00 ET Summary At its June meeting, the Federal Reserve held rates steady after 10 straight hikes but maintained a hawkish tilt. The committee unanimously left the federal funds rate at a range of 5.00 to 5.25%, but interestingly, significantly adjusted previous ec...
2023-06-15 17:30:00 ET Summary On June 14th, Fed Chair Powell announced a “skip” with ongoing quantitative tightening (QT) and possibly further hikes in 2023. When asked about rate cuts, Powell said they would likely be “a couple of years out.”. Not eas...
2023-06-15 14:33:00 ET Summary We continue to believe that U.S. Treasuries can have an important role to play in diversifying your portfolio. The June FOMC projection materials suggest that despite the long journey already travelled, it’s possible that we might not yet be a...
2023-06-15 11:15:00 ET Summary Although core PCE has fallen from its 5.4% peak in early 2022, it remains sticky in the mid-4% range. Another clue for expecting core PCE to show a stronger downside bias in the months ahead: Housing inflation has recently peaked. As for rate hik...
2023-06-15 00:31:00 ET Summary As the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates, farmers are penciling in another variable to their operating costs. Higher rates and lower crop prices are defining the ag economy ahead of the highly anticipated June 30 acreage report. As produc...
2023-06-14 23:16:00 ET Summary With this skip, the Fed has hiked by 500 basis points in 15 months. Core CPI, which, on a month-to-month basis, accelerated for the second month in a row, and hasn’t improved at all in seven months. The median projection for the federal fu...
2023-06-14 22:47:00 ET Summary Interest rates are relatively high from an historical perspective, but there are as yet few - if any - signs that monetary policy is too tight or that it is threatening the health of the economy. Without shelter costs artificially inflating the CPI, ...
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2024-05-28 18:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 06:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...