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2023-06-26 21:42:00 ET Summary The bedrock of the asset allocation process is to create strategic allocations that work over the longer term, while then modifying those positions in response to the market realities. Some of what we have seen during 2023 has been due to exuberance ...
2023-06-26 20:32:00 ET Summary One factor driving the recession talk is the Federal Reserve's higher interest rate push in an effort to lower the rate of inflation. With the stimulus dollars held in savings, consumers eventually began to get comfortable with spending and have been...
2023-06-26 11:05:00 ET Summary We see the outlook brightening for Japanese stocks vs. developed peers given fewer supply constraints, supportive monetary policy and corporate reforms. Developed market short-term bond yields rose last week after the Bank of England hiked rates agai...
2023-06-26 08:00:00 ET Summary Inflation remains stubbornly high, rate hikes are not over and the long, 40-year downtrend in interest rates is over. The Fed’s rate hikes have impacted housing more than any other sector of the economy, in expected ways and in some unexpected...
2023-06-26 07:00:00 ET Summary Persistent inflation is forcing central bankers to tighten more forcefully, risking a surge in yields and associated market and economic instability. Persistent inflation is forcing central bankers to tighten more forcefully, risking a surge in yield...
2023-06-24 23:55:00 ET Summary We think the macro factor that still matters most, at least for now, is inflation, notwithstanding how important these other elements may turn out to be. Emerging markets have performed well year to date despite continued rate hikes from the Fed, reg...
2023-06-23 07:30:00 ET Summary The monetary liquidity in the economy still runs very high as a percentage of GDP. Given the massive increase in activity due to a shuttered economy and massive fiscal stimulus, the reversion may take longer than normal. While the economy has cor...
2023-06-22 10:45:00 ET Summary Fed funds futures continue to lean toward a one-and-done scenario, based on the highest estimated probability estimates for the next three Fed meetings. A simple model using unemployment and consumer prices to profile Fed policy suggests that a moder...
2023-06-22 03:11:00 ET Summary The new Powell arithmetic: The Fed and the rates market believe that policy is restrictive. But uncertainty remains as the Fed signaled additional hikes and bond markets have priced in a higher probability of additional “insurance” hikes be...
2023-06-22 00:30:00 ET Summary The Fed held rates steady in June but projected two more rate hikes before the end of the year. The ECB hiked rates and made it clear that there’s more work to be done in the inflation fight. Japan maintained its accommodative policy, whil...
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2024-05-28 18:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 06:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...