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2023-08-01 02:13:53 ET Summary Aggressive rate hikes and extreme equity valuations mean the yield on cash is now almost 4pp above the 10-year annual return prospects on a 50-50 basket of stocks and bonds. Previous hiking cycles have led to investors selling assets, resulting in eq...
2023-08-01 01:56:00 ET Summary The Fed's trial-by-error approach to inflation. The Fed and ECB hiked rates again. Now what? How to manage your portfolio when traditional data doesn't tell the whole story. The U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank have ...
2023-08-01 00:12:00 ET Summary U.S. economy has changed over decades and become much less sensitive to interest rates. There was no such thing as financial futures or interest rate swaps to allow for the efficient hedging of interest rate risk. Financial futures, swaps, and op...
2023-07-31 19:40:00 ET Summary The economy continues to perform better than expected despite the Fed raising interest rates steadily – and fairly rapidly – over the last year. The recession calls first started last year in April when the 10-year/2-year Treasury curve...
2023-07-31 11:19:00 ET Summary Falling inflation, recovering growth, relaxed central bankers—how one of the most widely forecast recessions in history failed to happen. Germany is in mild recession, but the rest of Europe’s large economies are ticking over. The U.S. ...
2023-07-31 10:30:00 ET Summary Major central banks tightened policy last week, including unexpectedly in Japan. We see the potential for rising Japanese bond yields to pull global yields higher. The Bank of Japan tweaked its yield cap, sending local yields to a nine-year high. Dev...
2023-07-31 07:00:00 ET Summary Both headline and core inflation measures have made material progress to the downside in recent months. Headline CPI should continue grinding lower in the short term, but, any sustained rise in energy and food prices would likely see inflation pressu...
2023-07-31 05:38:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve raised its federal funds rate target range to 5.25 to 5.50 percent on Wednesday. Core PCEPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices and is therefore thought to be a better predictor of future inflation, is also falling. ...
2023-07-29 05:12:00 ET Summary As economic conditions improve, multi-asset investors may see better equities opportunities, alongside compelling income generation. As inflationary pressures now abate, we see eventual improvement in both real incomes and profits, which should enhan...
2023-07-29 03:15:00 ET Summary After Wednesday’s FOMC meeting, we figured the likelihood of another hike at the next meeting, in September, was more or less a coin flip. Then came the second quarter GDP report on Thursday, showing that the US economy grew by 2.4 percent (an...
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2024-05-28 18:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 06:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...