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2023-09-13 21:22:00 ET Summary In August 2023, the AIER Everyday Price Index rose 0.87 percent, lifting the index from 285.2 to 287.7. The month-to-month headline CPI number rose 0.6 percent versus 0.2 percent seen the previous month. With the release of the data, market-impli...
2023-09-13 13:56:00 ET Summary What strong jobs data may mean for the Bank of Canada. The impact of robust immigration could mean for Canada's economy in the long term. A hike may not be likely, but the BOC's inflation fight isn't over yet. Canada's latest jobs data ...
2023-09-13 13:00:00 ET Summary Some analysts who favor one or two indicators to forecast US recessions have had a rough year. For now, the probability that a recession has started, or is about to start, remains low, based on another indicator featured in The US Business Cycle Risk...
2023-09-13 12:19:00 ET Summary At June 30th, 2023, the S&P 500 was priced to return 1.65%/year over the next ten years. Given the rally since then, that return has risen to 2.03%/year. Currently the 10-year Treasury yields 4.29% [bond-equivalent yield, add 0.09% to annualize]....
2023-09-13 11:30:00 ET Summary US August inflation data shows a modest upside surprise, with headline CPI at 0.6% and core prices at 0.3%. The Fed is likely to keep one final rate hike in their forecasts despite keeping rates on hold in September. Risks to inflation include hi...
2023-09-13 02:45:00 ET Summary The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed steadily over the past two years. But we believe fixed-income investors should be prepared for lower yields ahead. Treasury yields have spent the past year in a state of flux - rising and falling on mixed econom...
2023-09-12 10:25:00 ET Summary Markets have been quick to react to individual data points without taking a step back to look at the bigger picture for the US, which is one of economic slowing and disinflation. The Bank of Canada erred on the side of caution and enacted another pau...
2023-09-11 17:38:00 ET Summary If an investor is to make tactical changes to their portfolio, it is in the extremes where they will find their greatest opportunities. What looks like an extreme today might be merely a way station on the path to something even more extreme. Con...
2023-09-11 14:20:00 ET Summary The dollar has been higher for the last 8 weeks. The Fed raising rates and holding them higher for longer is contributing to that rise. We are starting to see tremors of volatility in currencies, from the Mexican peso to the Japanese yen. The Fed may...
2023-09-11 14:15:00 ET Summary Market narratives have flip-flopped through the year as the new macro regime plays out. We stay selective amid stagnating activity and volatile inflation. U.S. stocks dipped and bond yields climbed after solid U.S. services data. Markets are coming a...
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2024-05-28 18:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 06:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...