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2024-01-05 11:20:00 ET Summary Headline numbers are strong from the December US jobs report, but not everything is rosy. Once again job growth is concentrated in just three sectors. Next week's inflation report will still have core inflation close to 4% so the Fed is under no ...
2024-01-04 21:40:00 ET Summary In 2023, the global economy defied widespread expectations of a recession and falling interest rates. The United States, Japan, and, to a lesser extent, Europe delivered significantly better growth than was expected at the turn of the year. The e...
2024-01-04 09:55:00 ET Summary Fed funds futures are currently pricing in high odds for no change in rates at this month’s FOMC meeting (Jan. 31), but a rate cut is seen as moderately likely in March and again in May. Support for anticipating cuts is also found in the polic...
2024-01-03 12:40:00 ET Summary We think 2023 stressed the value of adapting to a new volatile macro regime, and leveraging investment insight and structural forces to find opportunities. U.S. stocks surged in 2023, a reversal from their 2022 underperformance. Flip-flopping market ...
2024-01-03 10:08:00 ET Summary The calendar year 2023 proved to be an incredible roller-coaster for U.S. fixed income. Sentiment in the money and bond markets shifted dramatically and yield levels plummeted across the board, while MBS and corporate bond spreads narrowed considerab...
2024-01-02 19:20:00 ET Summary As we wind down 2023’s year in bonds, the long, strange trip is ending up at the same ten-year bond yields that we started with. The ten-year US Treasury bond closed 2022 at 3.88%, and with the last day of this year upon us, the ten-year yield...
2024-01-02 03:50:00 ET Summary It’s impossible to put together a sound financial plan without predicting what future inflation might look like. Factor tilting might be a decent option in this environment. I think we need to do a better job of matching time horizons with...
2024-01-01 23:46:00 ET Summary Many influential figures claim that supply-side improvements explain easing price pressures. Even if we eventually experience sustained deflation, the arithmetic of the supply-side account just doesn’t add up. Since disinflation isn’...
2024-01-01 09:45:00 ET Summary Despite many challenges, 2023 was a strong year for both equities and fixed income. As of December 28, the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq generated total returns of 26.6%, 16.2% and 45.5% year- to-date, respectively, while the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate I...
2023-12-31 10:00:00 ET Summary The stock market had a huge year in 2023, with major indices reaching new highs. The S&P 500 surged 24% and the Nasdaq Composite surged 43%, reversing previous declines. The Russell 2000, which tracks small-cap stocks, ended the year where it...
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2024-05-28 18:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 06:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...