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2024-01-13 09:45:00 ET Summary Given the world's turmoil, the capital and commodity markets have remained firm. China will be the first large economy to report Q4 GDP in the days ahead and it too is not collapsing. We think the market is still too confident of a rate cut as so...
2024-01-13 02:35:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve has fueled market conviction that the good old days of extremely low interest rates and abundant liquidity are soon to return. This promises to be quite a challenging year for investors. I think macro uncertainty is especially hig...
2024-01-12 07:45:00 ET Summary The odds of a Fed rate cut in March is virtually unchanged. US and UK strike on the Houthi in Yemen has helped lift oil and gold prices, but otherwise the impact on the markets is minimal. Gold set a new high for the week. February WTI has re...
2024-01-12 04:15:00 ET Summary Core services account for over 61% of the Consumer Price Index, and that’s where inflation has gotten entrenched. Core CPI accelerated to 0.31% in December from October, the second month in a row of acceleration and fastest increase since Sept...
2024-01-12 01:30:00 ET Summary While recession continues to be a base case of 55%, the odds of a soft landing are getting better. As you near a cycle peak, the economy transitions quickly from strong job formation to outright losses. The Fed has the latitude to cut rates and, ...
2024-01-11 11:20:00 ET Summary In the wake of the Federal Reserve's dovish shift in December, financial markets had moved to price an interest rate cut as soon as March. However, the tight jobs market and today's firmer-than-expected inflation numbers suggest this is unlikely, bar...
2024-01-11 07:00:00 ET Summary The dollar's broad consolidative tone has continued into today. China will report December CPI and PPI tomorrow. Recent news that European Council President Michel will leave his post early if he is elected to the European Parliament has renewed ...
2024-01-10 10:32:00 ET Summary There’s a lot riding on tomorrow’s US consumer inflation report for December for markets, which are pricing in relatively upbeat news. Economists expect a bit of a mixed bag. For the year-over-year headline data, consumer inflation is p...
2024-01-10 07:45:00 ET Summary The broad consolidation in the dollar after the gyrations at the end of last week continues. Japan reported a smaller-than-expected rise in Tokyo's December CPI and weaker-than-expected household spending in November yesterday. The dollar tested ...
2024-01-09 07:48:00 ET Summary The dollar continues to consolidate broadly after the dramatic price swings at the end of last week. The foreign exchange market used to be sensitive to the monthly US trade figures. European benchmark 10-year bond yields are jumping 4-6 bp today...
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2024-07-09 08:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-28 19:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...