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2024-01-20 01:10:00 ET Summary So close, and then so far. That was the story of the Treasury yield curve last October, when the 10-year yield briefly touched a decades-long high of five percent. As has become the norm, the bond market took whatever the Fed said and doubled down. ...
2024-01-19 08:45:00 ET Summary The US 10-year Treasury yield has been below the 3-month yield since November 2022. This rare yield inversion has preceded each recession since 1982, with no false signals. In past cycles, the US Fed stopped hiking when the yield curve inverted, ...
2024-01-19 08:00:00 ET Summary The dollar's surge in the first part of the week has given way to consolidation. The equity rally in North America yesterday, which saw the NASDAQ 100 set a new record-high seemed to help bourses in Asia Pacific today. Japan's reported its nation...
2024-01-19 04:55:00 ET Summary Broad disinflation across the whole CPI basket we have seen over the past year is likely over. The majority of the decline in inflation since its mid-2022 peak has been from a combination of energy disinflation, food disinflation, and goods disinflat...
2024-01-18 11:43:00 ET Summary Lagging indicators suggest that all is well in the economy, however, more forward-looking factors present reasons for concern. It takes an active approach to stock selection to find investments that are well positioned for the road ahead. Whether...
2024-01-18 08:00:00 ET Summary This week's dollar surge is consolidating today. Interest rates have steadied, but the adjustment, which involves pushing the first rate from March toward June does not appear complete. The Australian labor market is slowing, but the December figures...
2024-01-18 07:13:00 ET Summary The core PCE in the past six months is running at a slower 1.9% annual pace, so the Fed’s 2% inflation target is within sight. Deflation is unquestionably enveloping the Chinese economy, and this deflation is being exported around the world, i...
2024-01-17 12:55:00 ET Summary Groundbreaking technological advancements, mega-pop stars being blamed for summertime inflation, and a December Fed pivot were just a few of the plot twists for 2023. US GDP growth sequentially accelerated all year and continually outpaced expectatio...
2024-01-17 07:20:00 ET Summary Many observers and much of the financial press emphasize China's economic weakness. The dollar surged by slightly more than 1% against the Japanese yen on Tuesday, the biggest single-day advance since the end of last October. Sterling came off on...
2024-01-17 01:55:00 ET Summary The Monetary Base is up over 7% since March. M2 is also a bit higher. The primary driver of my bull thesis is the shift in the Fed’s monetary policy. It was only a matter of time before this occurred. The M2 measure of the money supply has...
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2024-07-09 08:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-28 19:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...