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2024-02-20 13:50:00 ET Summary We think market optimism can persist for now but stay nimble. We get more active in our long-term portfolios given a greater dispersion of returns. U.S. stocks steadied after a brief dip on stronger-than-expected inflation data last week. We think th...
2024-02-20 07:55:00 ET Summary The US dollar is offered today and is trading softer against all the G10 currencies. The yen, sterling, Canadian dollar, and Swiss franc are still inside last week's ranges. Most EM currencies are trading with a firmer bias today as well, led by ...
2024-02-20 07:00:00 ET Summary The resilience of the U.S. economy during 2023 owed much to low unemployment and excess savings built up through the pandemic. Excess savings may still be out there, but only among those on middle and higher incomes. Inflation in non-discretionar...
2024-02-19 10:35:23 ET Summary The inverted yield curve, historically a reliable indicator of recession, has not yet led to an economic contraction. Economist Campbell Harvey, who developed the yield-curve indicator, acknowledged its potential inaccuracy due to inflation-adjusted ...
2024-02-18 21:32:00 ET Summary It is that after trying to figure out whether the economy and markets would achieve a soft landing in the wake of the post-Covid tightening cycle, no one quite knows what to think now that the soft landing appears to have arrived. By and large, leadi...
2024-02-17 08:05:00 ET Summary The US January CPI and PPI came in stronger than expected and this extended the recovery in US interest rates. The yen has fallen for seven consecutive weeks and the threat of intervention by MOF officials had little sustained impact. China retur...
2024-02-17 02:40:00 ET Summary This week was particularly trying, and most of all for the masses tethered to the “6 in ’24” narrative proclaiming six Fed funds rate cuts in 2024. Many of the categories that make up typical household budgets saw price gains in ...
2024-02-17 02:10:00 ET Summary Our annual global real GDP forecast for 2024 has been revised up from 2.3% to 2.5%. Global PMI data continues to point to a gradual improvement in economic conditions. Core inflation rates have continued to fall but the outlook is more unce...
2024-02-15 11:30:00 ET Summary Inflation and Treasury yields move together to a degree, but they’re hardly joined at the hip in the short term. For the most part, it’s reasonable to assume that inflation influences the 10-year, although at times the causality can flo...
2024-02-15 07:57:00 ET Summary Japan's economy surprisingly contracted in Q4 '23, and the UK's economy contracted more than expected in Q4 '23, its second consecutive quarter without growth. The yen strengthened, and the dollar briefly traded below JPY150. The Australian dollar di...
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2024-07-09 08:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-28 19:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...