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2024-04-27 05:50:00 ET Summary Quarterly inflation data surprised to the upside and led the market to brace for a very unpleasant MoM print today. Thankfully, it was due to upward revisions, primarily to January, with the March figure coming in line with initial expectations. ...
2024-04-27 04:10:00 ET Summary Elevated inflation and strong activity and jobs numbers have pushed market expectations for the timing of the first interest rate cut to December. We still see an opportunity for a September rate cut. Nonetheless, the Federal Reserve will re...
2024-04-26 09:45:00 ET Summary Now that USD/JPY has glided through the 155 level, markets are now on high alert for Japanese FX intervention. Heightened sense of intervention is reflected in the FX options market, where one week USD/JPY traded volatility is now priced at 14.5%. ...
2024-04-26 05:10:00 ET Summary Markets have overreacted to Thursday's first quarter GDP stats; quarterly numbers are by nature volatile. The first estimate of Q1/24 GDP growth came in weaker than expected (1.6% vs 2.5%). On a quarterly basis, the deflator grew at a 3.7% annual...
2024-04-26 04:20:00 ET Summary The Fed recently released the March money supply numbers, and the story hasn't changed. M2 surged from early 2020 through early 2022, thanks to $6 trillion of deficit spending that was effectively monetized. The bulge in M2 rose to a high of $4.7...
2024-04-26 03:25:00 ET Summary US GDP growth slowed to 1.6% annualised in the first quarter of this year, less than half the 3.4% rate recorded in 4Q23, but core inflation was stronger, picking up from a 2% annualised rate to 3.7%. This implies upside risks to tomorrow’s ke...
2024-04-26 02:30:00 ET Summary Money Supply is a very important indicator that helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are, regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Money Supply should dip some heading into the summer before rebounding later in th...
2024-04-23 13:50:00 ET Summary The US economy powered ahead in the first quarter, as strong hiring activity and gradually waning inflationary pressures boosted consumer spending, keeping growth on solid footing. In our view, much of that strength will last, supported by changing d...
2024-04-23 13:00:00 ET Summary Bitcoin, gold, and the S&P 500 have all reached record highs in 2024. Geopolitical uncertainty may lead investors to seek safe haven assets like gold and the U.S. dollar. The futures market is showing near-record levels of interest in gold. ...
2024-04-23 09:00:00 ET Summary In its fight against inflation, the last thing that the Federal Reserve needs is an oil price shock that would result from the disruption of oil flowing through the Straits of Hormuz. High interest rates for longer are bound to deepen the commercial ...
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2024-04-29 00:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-19 06:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-07 01:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...