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2024-05-02 05:00:00 ET Summary The latest JOLTS report showed the lowest levels of quits since early 2018 when Core PCE inflation was around 2%. This is an interesting data point because the quit rate has tended to be a good measure of labor market tightness. It’s often...
2024-05-02 03:20:00 ET Summary The Fed kept rates unchanged at the May FOMC meeting, maintaining the Fed Funds trading range at 5.25% to 5.50%. Rate cut expectations have shifted dramatically, with the market now pricing in fewer than two rate cuts compared with the initial expect...
2024-05-02 03:00:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve left its policy rate unchanged and argued its policy stance is “in a good place”, but officials are concerned about the recent lack of progress on inflation. Rate hikes remain unlikely, but the Fed is prepa...
2024-05-01 12:30:00 ET Summary Google searches of the term “stagflation” went up dramatically last week, but I don’t believe we’re seeing stagflation in the US. The recovery in eurozone services appears to have legs, in my opinion, as we are finally see...
2024-05-01 12:00:00 ET Summary Stronger-than-anticipated economic data released during the first quarter led to a significant downward shift in market expectations for 2024 rate cuts. While equity markets were mostly unfazed by this change in expectations, fixed income markets exp...
2024-05-01 06:50:00 ET Summary The BOJ projected yesterday that commercial banks' deposits with it likely dropped by JPY7.56 trillion. The dollar gradually edged higher yesterday, and by the end of the North American session, it had recovered more than half of the intervention-ins...
2024-04-30 09:00:00 ET Summary The aim of the devaluation was to escape deflation which had persisted since (at least) the turn of the century. The Yen started to weaken in 2021 as the BOJ ramped up Yen printing again to help the economy recover from the COVID shock. Mortgage ...
2024-04-30 08:10:00 ET Summary Stronger-than-expected eurozone GDP strengthened the sense that a nascent recovery may be taking hold and has given the euro a bid in the European morning. Japanese stocks rallied strong coming back from the long weekend. The euro remained within...
2024-04-30 06:00:00 ET Summary The Japanese Yen has been undergoing quite the roller-coaster ride in recent weeks and is now down over 45% vs the USD since 2020. Despite the jump in inflation, the Bank of Japan left interest rates largely unchanged at 0% while every other Central ...
2024-04-30 03:10:00 ET Summary Good news is bad news and bad news is bad news... having it both ways. Hints of “stagflation” sends the market into a swoon. More to worry about (or not) in the coming week. What is wrong? I am part of it, although I w...
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2024-07-09 08:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-28 19:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...