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2024-05-21 03:15:00 ET Summary Bonds and stocks rallied last week on the back of two pretty good inflation reports, I suppose. Current inflation expectations are consistent with expectations prior to and just after the 2008 financial crisis. While inflation expectations didn...
2024-05-20 14:15:00 ET Summary We stay dynamic on a strategic horizon to take advantage of sharp valuation shifts. We go overweight emerging market stocks for the first time since 2020. U.S. stocks hit all-time highs while 10-year yields fell after the CPI data met expectations. W...
2024-05-20 10:50:00 ET Summary Whatever traders and investors were focused on last week, the result was a drop in interest rates across the curve, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping by about 8 basis points. Over the last month, with the 10-year yield down a little over 16 ba...
2024-05-20 07:50:00 ET Summary Most of the G10 currencies are +/- 0.1% against the dollar. The BOJ's reluctance to continue to reduce its bond purchases seemed to strengthen perceptions that it was not as concerned about the yen's weakness as was the Ministry of Finance. The e...
2024-05-20 02:53:00 ET Summary The US economy grew 3.1% last year, trouncing widespread calls for a recession and exceeding my relatively sober expectation for 2% growth. The correct way to view the interplay between growth and inflation is to first understand that high inflation ...
2024-05-18 13:25:00 ET Summary The highlight of the week may be the preliminary May PMI estimates. Though, market participants appear to put more weight on the ISM than the PMI. Former President Trump has threatened higher tariffs on all Chinese goods if he is elected. The direct ...
2024-05-18 07:00:00 ET Summary Edward Yardeni, President of Yardeni Research, has been - and remains - bullish on the stock market given a Federal Reserve that will likely retreat to the sidelines, strong consumer spending, and a solid growth outlook. Jose Torres, Senior Economist...
2024-05-17 07:05:00 ET Summary The dollar's recovery begun yesterday has extended into today's activity. Japan's markets were mixed, but South Korea, Taiwan, and Australian and New Zealand shares fell. The spring EC forecast recognized that fragile recovery is taking hold in t...
2024-05-16 14:30:00 ET Summary US CPI improves the inflation picture. US inflation is improving but some aspects are still troubling for the Fed. What the US bond market tells us about the outlook for rates. ... Read the full article on Seeking Alpha ...
2024-05-16 13:30:00 ET Summary The YoY CPI has been near the low 3% range since June of last year, but it has picked back up over the last two months. Looking at the individual categories relative to history, it is clear that Energy is having an outsize effect and that shelter rem...
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2024-07-09 08:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-28 19:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-29 00:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...