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Summary The first half of the year saw GDP contract slightly and GDI expand slightly, and I interpret that as little to no growth. The money market futures I follow and the market based models I track all put the peak in rates somewhere between March and June of next year. I d...
Summary Core CPI, excludes food and energy, rose from July's year-over-year reading of 5.9% to a YoY rate of 6.3% in August. FedEx reported dismal earnings on Friday sending the stock down 21%. A large part of the economic data seems to be indicating the economy is slowing. ...
Summary Officials at the world's major central banks, led by the US Fed, grew increasingly united in their resolve to bring inflation under control. The August about-face pulled the Europe ex UK and both US Russell indexes back down to the bottom of the performance ranks for the y...
Summary UK prime minister Liz Truss announced a price cap on natural gas to shelter households from the 80% increase scheduled for next month and more price resets slated for January and April 2023. With no action, UK inflation could easily have topped 15% this year. With the cap,...
Summary With inflation at the highest level in decades and volatility continuing to surge, equity investors are questioning their next moves. At the beginning of the year, financial conditions were very loose by any means historically, and we've very rapidly moved from loose finan...
Summary With the Fed’s latest “higher for longer” interest rate comments, commodities pulled back in the month of August, but continue to hold strong year to date. Commodities continued to recover from the July lows for most of August, but finished the month o...
Summary Oil prices have seen three straight months of price declines and are down more than 30% from their relative high in June, but energy stocks have been relatively resilient, particularly MLPs. Much of the weakness in oil prices has been driven by demand concerns related to t...
Summary Citing economic sanctions imposed by the West, Russia has closed the taps to its Nord Stream 1 pipeline, throwing Europe into its biggest energy crisis in decades. European countries may be forced to ration gas, which will impede market forces from destroying demand natura...
Summary Near-term hydrocarbon markets remain tight, stemming from Russia/Ukraine, but long-term oil prices are being driven lower by additional emerging factors. Recessionary fears in the U.S. and Europe, continued COVID disruptions impacting Chinese demand, and Russian barrels re...
Summary The world has always relied on the Saudis for decades to calm the oil markets by producing more oil when prices rise, something they are not capable of doing as the truth of their capabilities is now being questioned. We have liquidated our strategic oil reserves, pulled b...
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2024-07-05 05:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 18:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 00:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...