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Summary As we enter 2023, bottom-up fundamental research is going to be critical as we go through this environment. So economic growth in '23 is pretty uncertain in some regions, maybe a little bit more certain in others. I think energy transition is something which is going to cont...
Summary The key supply uncertainty for the oil market this year has been how well Russian supply would hold up. We believe that there is upside to European gas prices in 2023 - however, much will depend on how much storage the EU manages to draw down this winter. We expect power mar...
Summary Inflation continues to moderate, not only here, but also in Europe. Despite the negative economic reports and the reaction to the Fed rate hike, the US Dollar barely budged for the week. Value yet again outperformed Growth in the last week, this time by a spread of almost 1%...
Summary CPI rose only 0.1% in November and 7.1% in the past 12 months. The monthly CPI was lower than the economists’ consensus expectation of 0.3%, and that triggered a massive bond rally that caused Treasury yields to plummet. The Fed never fights market rates, so even thou...
Summary Avoiding envy, and its associated pitfalls, is one of the simple secrets to a successful investment portfolio. Value once again outperformed Growth in the last week. After closing below the 200-day moving average for two weeks running, the US Dollar seems firmly entrenched i...
Summary The market implications of price caps on Russian oil. As Russian price caps kick in, what it means for oil production. Why oil prices are giving up gains for the year and sitting at a new 2022 low. As the G7’s new price cap on Russian oil kicks in, a...
Summary The spot price for a barrel of Brent crude oil, a market benchmark, is actually down for the year to date. Oil’s downward trend over the past two months is one of the more counterintuitive developments we have seen this year. If China manages to stay on course with it...
Summary U.S. equity markets are grappling with the highest inflation in decades, critical central bank policy decisions, and slowing economic growth. Energy’s positive dispersion can be attributed to the outperformance of energy stocks this year, which has propelled the S&P E...
Summary The Haynesville Shale is the third-largest natural gas play in the US by production, with output reaching new highs against a strong backdrop for US natural gas prices. Growing production, increased well productivity and drilling efficiencies, and proximity to liquefied natural ...
Summary Olga and Hugo review their predictions and explore what surprised them in 2022, focusing on GDP, interest rates, earnings growth, energy prices, and the dollar. Our forecast for nominal GDP incorporates expectations for both growth and inflation. We were on the right track by an...
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2024-07-05 05:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 18:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 00:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...