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Summary After a year best forgotten, 2023 has started out with a bang. January was a strong month that gave equity investors a timely relief rally. While this was a welcomed development, I am concerned that equity prices are getting too disconnected from reality. We have a challenging m...
Summary A truly exceptional year, 2022 was dominated by historically high inflation, sharply rising interest rates and a surge in bond yields. With inflation now peaking and labor markets cooling, the environment enables central banks to slow and potentially pause interest-rate hikes. ...
Summary As we head into the end of January, technical conditions in major stock indexes are showing a lot of strength. We think a bear market that could easily trim 50% from indexes is in the cards, but timing is everything. We find price action-driven measures more reliable than su...
Summary After a record-setting 2022, energy sector earnings are likely to generally decline in 2023, though forecasts point to another strong year by historical standards. Even with a year-over-year earnings decline, energy companies can continue to execute on free cash flow generation ...
Summary Storage at the moment is 72% full, well above the five-year average of 54% for this time of year. If we were to see similar storage levels at the start of the next heating season, the EU would only need to add around 43bcm of gas this year. The level of demand destruction se...
Summary In the past month, U.S. natural gas prices (Henry Hub Futures) have declined 51%, marking the worst 30-day performance we have on record. Europe has made a conscious effort to fill its natural gas storage capacity going into winter and reduce its demand for energy, with a Europe...
Summary The Biden Administration has stopped releasing one million barrels per day of light sweet crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, so crude oil prices are expected to meander higher, despite a domestic glut of crude oil. Natural gas is more weather-dependent, but I expect...
Summary Towards the end of last summer when there were real worries that many Europeans were going to freeze to death in the winter cold without gas to heat their homes, the price of natural gas in the US traded to the highest levels in over a decade and approached double digits. Suffic...
Summary We expect the first half of 2023 to be choppy as markets process inflation data. Later in the year, central banks should moderate interest-rate hikes, inducing a sustainable risk-asset rally. We expect macro factors to remain in focus, with investors closely watching inflation a...
Summary Resource equities exhibited strong relative gains this quarter, outperforming both global equities and bonds during the three-month period. During the quarter, the greatest contributions to absolute performance came from the oil & gas sub-sector - including the top three ind...
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2024-07-05 05:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 18:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 00:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...