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Australia’s better-than-expected economic performance since the pandemic began has been grist to the mill for those who think tighter policy could be on the cards. Higher year-on-year inflation readings had been expected in 2021 because of the base effects created during 2020 w...
Record low real yields across the world betray an exceptional degree of macro angst. Or do they? Don’t look at rates in isolation. Other markets are fine. The tide of central bank purchases lifts all boats, and normal liquidity conditions will only return at the end of the ...
The biggest beneficiary of the Covid-19 Delta variant fear is bond yields, since the 10-year Treasury bond decisively “cracked” the 1.2% level last week and actually hit a low of 1.133% on Tuesday. This means that either inflation fears are ebbing or there is a flight to qua...
Prices charged for goods and services meanwhile rose at a near-unprecedented rate again as demand outstripped supply. The eurozone is enjoying a summer growth spurt as the loosening of virus-fighting restrictions propelled growth to the fastest for 21 years. Supply chain delays re...
The virus is once again raising the prospects of slowing the economic recovery that was unevenly unfolding. The ECB's new forward guidance signaled that bond purchases and low rates will prevail until the staff forecasts that the 2% target can be sustained. Discussions about the p...
All eyes are on the US next week as the Fed meets and we head into peak earnings season. Earnings season is off to a very strong start and it will step up a notch next week with a number of big tech companies reporting. There’ll also be a raft of economic releases which will gr...
We feel the ECB missed the mark by not making more explicit reference to asset purchases. In the new guidance as in the old, the end of purchases remains subordinated to the rates forward guidance. The upshot to yesterday’s ECB meeting is more purchases for longer, but dissent ...
Growth-oriented asset classes are likely to shine, but not equally. Above-trend growth is a supportive environment of risky assets like equities or credit. On valuation grounds, equities are looking a little cheaper. Geraldine Sundstrom and Erin Browne discuss PIMCO’s views...
Despite the arrival of ‘freedom day’ in the UK and the strength of other developed market economic recoveries, global equity market progress has been relatively muted in recent months. Should profits forecasts match expectations, markets could trade sideways as earnings ...
Rate markets seem to have fallen through a rabbit hole into a fantasy world where every new bit of information points to lower growth. That the rally in rates, and associated curve flattening, is occurring at a time the phase of economic acceleration comes to an end can create a misle...
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2024-07-08 07:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 07:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-18 00:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...