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Summary After a bumpy year, 2023 could prove to be even more challenging for global goods trade with consumer demand faltering, oversupply returning, and the energy and subsequent inflation crisis persisting. So far this year, global merchandise trade has held up extremely well gi...
Summary Global economic output contracted for a second straight month in September, adding to signs that businesses around the world are reporting the toughest conditions outside of pandemic lockdowns since the global financial crisis. Manufacturing is being hit by rising prices, ...
Summary URTH is supposed to be the broadest ETF out there but it suffers from ultimately being dominated by US exposures and the US geography. As such, its multiple is high considering we're coming into a recession and that supply chains have to some extent been permanently damage...
Summary We maintain our intermediate-term bearish bias and think it makes sense to pursue short-term shorts, as well. Shorting stocks is a difficult and complicated proposition. Typical action would see oil back above $100 bbl pretty easily, with a run toward $120 certainly wi...
Summary The last decade, from a historical perspective, looks like an anomaly. If volatility becomes more common in the future, strategies that help reduce downside risk should become integral to equity allocations. Expect to see more volatility in the next 10 years than in th...
Sell hubris and buy humiliation is an attractive trade for 2023, according to BofA. As a percentage of the MSCI Word Index ( NYSEARCA: URTH ), U.S. equities stand at an all-time high of 66%, strategist Michael Hartnett wrote in his weekly Flow Show note. Tesla's ( TSLA...
Summary Global equity markets outside of the United States have completed a third negative quarter, with the MSCI ACWI ex US IMI Index down 11.26% in the three months through October 30. For the year to date, this index is down 27.19%, which clearly indicates a “bear market...
Summary Equity market volatility persisted in the third quarter as investors came to terms with a new reality of high inflation and rising interest rates. For most of this year, equity markets have violently traded on this unholy trinity of rising inflation, rate hikes and growth ...
Summary We can always find an unimportant market blowing up somewhere, but as long as the funding markets are not touched, the effects on the real economy will be limited. Based on what I have seen publicly discussed, I see nothing that says that we are in any worse state than pre...
Summary We began September on Crash Watch but ended the month on Crash Warning. Though much has changed since October began, the warning remains until further notice. To be clear, this warning applies to the U.S. and global equity markets. The move to a Warning last week was relat...
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2024-07-15 04:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-25 07:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-14 19:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...