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2024-05-01 10:20:00 ET Summary The probability the U.S. economy will see a recession begin sometime in the next twelve months has started to fall again during the past six weeks, after having hit a double-top. The Recession Probability Track indicates the probability a recession w...
2024-04-11 08:50:00 ET Summary Jeff Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, discusses the updated ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard, which has seen some progress underneath the surface despite not having any indicator changes. If you look at co...
2024-04-11 06:50:00 ET Summary The jobs market is unlikely to lead to a recession in 2024. Wage growth continues to trend lower, while a spike in unemployment that would trigger a recession appears unlikely from here. In fact, the leading indicators of employment growth sugges...
2024-04-09 08:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-04 14:20:00 ET Summary The broadest measure of economic activity, growth in real GDP, slowed in the fourth quarter. The U-3 unemployment rate has edged higher from last April (3.4 percent) to February (3.9 percent). In a no-landing scenario, the unemployment rate would...
2024-03-19 17:30:00 ET Summary The odds the U.S. economy will see a recession start sometime in the next twelve months continued to rise during the past six weeks. The prospect for a recession has ticked up since bottoming largely because the inversion of the U.S. Treasury curve d...
2024-03-18 11:15:00 ET Summary Over the last two years, the evolution of the US economy has been driven by a return to “normal”. The change in cash levels at the household level were large and have proved more persistent than most expected. At the end of last yea...
2024-03-13 10:50:00 ET Summary The combination of the ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index and the yield curve has been warning of imminent recession since September 2023. The March 2024 new high for the SPX suggests that a recession will not start any sooner than May 2024. By o...
2024-03-10 05:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-08 04:50:00 ET Summary In the last four months, we’ve seen quite a bit of change to the ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard, with four indicators moving from recessionary red to yellow caution. We still think that the odds of a recession are 40% as the historical p...
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2024-04-09 08:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-10 05:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-11-18 08:15:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...