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2024-07-11 11:59:00 ET Summary US CPI came in below expectations, which should increase the Fed’s confidence that inflation is on the path to sustainably reaching the 2% target. We are finally seeing housing inflation slow, with shelter coming in at 0.2% MoM rather than the...
2024-07-11 06:50:00 ET Summary The focus today is on the US CPI report - Another soft reading is expected, and it may strengthen ideas of a Fed cut in September, which ostensibly give it time to cut again before the end of the year. The dollar is trading with a softer bias against...
2024-07-10 15:15:00 ET Summary Interest rates move markets worth trillions of dollars, influence politics, impact the value of currencies, and even affect our grocery bills. Despite the challenges associated with relying on different models to derive r*, there has been a clear tre...
2024-07-10 12:20:00 ET Summary The UST yield curve has been inverted, but there is speculation about when it will “un”invert and move out of negative territory. Short-term and long-term rates do not always move in the same direction, and the magnitude of their moveme...
2024-07-10 11:50:00 ET Summary The last time the Fed cut the fed funds rate, the Fed easing monetary policy started with Janet Yellen in Q4 ’16 and ended with Jay Powell in late 2018. The TLT returned +14.12%, in 2019 as the Fed reduced the fed funds rate slightly. Inve...
2024-07-10 07:00:00 ET Summary The dollar is mostly softer today, but largely within the recent ranges, as the market appears to be waiting for tomorrow's US CPI. A less hawkish Reserve Bank of New Zealand has triggered a sell-off of the local dollar. Global equities are mostl...
2024-07-09 07:05:00 ET Summary The dollar is consolidating in narrow ranges today against the G10 currencies and enjoys as slight upward bias against most emerging market currencies but for a few currencies from the Asia Pacific region. Asia Pacific equities rallied but for Hong K...
2024-07-08 14:35:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index rose to fresh record highs on Friday. The latest jobs data helped add to bullish sentiment. Along with other recent reports, Friday’s one suggests the economy is cooling without collapsing. That is re...
2024-07-08 07:55:00 ET Summary The S&P Global US composite PMI was a little less than expected but above 50 at 51.6 while the ISM manufacturing PMI was slightly less than expected at 48.5. Construction spending, which has been an economic bright spot for at least the last year...
2024-07-08 07:05:00 ET Summary The dollar is narrowly mixed against the G10 and emerging market currencies today. The euro is little changed, holding on to last week's gains, after the surprising French election results. The Japanese yen has given back its initial gains, and t...
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2024-04-15 09:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-05 11:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-13 11:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...